NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	7.0 [432]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +62.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	73.6 [21]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -11.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.11	-0.01	9	94%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25	0.15	0.10	0.01	15	74%	0.37	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.05
Nate Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.01	16	59%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	15	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.62	0.62	0.07	0.57	0.01	16	59%	0.64	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	16	61%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Oden	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	63%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	25.5	15.0	26.2	2.4	33.0	127.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.9%

NYK -11.8%

POR +30.0%

POR +0.2%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	118.7	119.8	106.4
season	13.8	16.7		106.2	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.5		105.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.0	15.7	17.7	15.8
POR	13.3	16.3	17.0	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	44	45	0.49	-0.99	1.47	0.31	6	-7	13	16.4	15.2	1.22	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Nate Robinson	54	55	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.20	3	-4	7	16.4	14.8	1.60	16.3	15.2	1.15
Al Harrington	67	66	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	16.0	15.0	1.03	16.5	14.2	2.28
Quentin Richardson	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-14	27	15.8	15.7	0.04	16.6	15.0	1.56
Danilo Gallinari	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	4	-9	15.4	15.9	-0.55	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Chris Duhon	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-3	5	15.9	14.9	0.98	16.1	14.9	1.13
Jared Jeffries	24	22	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.61	-2	1	-3	14.2	16.3	-2.05	15.4	16.0	-0.63
David Lee	70	71	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.71	-5	4	-9	15.3	17.2	-1.86	15.5	17.4	-1.94
Wilson Chandler	39	39	-1.04	0.54	-1.59	-0.58	-16	15	-31	15.3	16.1	-0.74	15.0	16.6	-1.56

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Oden	50	53	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.71	9	-8	17	15.9	15.9	-0.07	15.8	15.7	0.17
Brandon Roy	76	76	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.49	14	-13	27	15.4	18.2	-2.77	15.8	15.5	0.27
Rudy Fernandez	46	47	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.69	-3	4	-7	15.5	16.3	-0.74	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Travis Outlaw	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	-1	3	15.9	15.9	0.02	16.2	15.0	1.16
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.57	-9	10	-19	17.1	12.6	4.48	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Nicolas Batum	34	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	-1	3	14.1	17.0	-2.92	15.3	16.0	-0.76
Jerryd Bayless	20	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	2	-3	14.2	16.4	-2.10	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Sergio Rodriguez	69	70	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.21	-2	3	-5	16.5	14.0	2.43	16.0	15.0	0.92
Joel Przybilla	36	34	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.23	-7	8	-15	16.6	15.4	1.19	15.6	15.8	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1	88.3%
DAL 127, LAC 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,1	87.0%
ATL 107, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.42,1	87.0%