NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	9.9 [72]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +29.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	5.9 [218]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -22.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.29	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.32,0.08,0.29	0.13	0.20	0.03	19	67%	0.50	5	-0.21	13	92%	0.08
Matt Harpring	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	9	67%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.15	0.04	0.11	0.00	22	57%	0.31	4	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.02	3	122%	0.20	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	52%	0.13	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Morris Almond	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	3	20%	-0.13	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	20	64%	0.59	5	-0.35	18	72%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	12	48%	0.06	2	-0.16	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	30.6	31.8	33.2	3.4	36.5	164.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.2%

UTA +6.4%

SAC -4.5%

SAC -4.2%

UTA +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.7	15.5	113.3	108.1	106.4
season	15.3	15.0		107.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		112.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	15.4	16.7	14.2	15.5
SAC	14.0	15.2	14.0	12.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	81	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-2	8	15.3	16.5	-1.25	14.2	11.6	2.54
Paul Millsap	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	15.3	15.8	-0.56	14.0	13.3	0.74
Kyle Korver	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	15.1	16.7	-1.66	14.3	12.2	2.07
Ronnie Brewer	84	85	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	-3	10	15.7	14.1	1.58	13.7	13.9	-0.13
Mehmet Okur	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	0	4	15.3	16.3	-0.95	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Jarron Collins	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	4	-4	16.3	15.3	0.95	14.4	13.6	0.83
Ronnie Price	23	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	5	-6	16.9	15.1	1.85	12.2	14.3	-2.07
Morris Almond	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	3	-2	13.0	15.5	-2.53	1.0	13.9	-12.88
Kosta Koufos	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	3	-2	13.0	15.5	-2.53	1.0	13.9	-12.88
Matt Harpring	37	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	15.9	15.2	0.67	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Brevin Knight	31	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	9	-14	15.5	15.5	-0.07	13.0	14.1	-1.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	58	57	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.22	14	-18	32	14.1	13.3	0.82	15.7	15.2	0.44
Mikki Moore	37	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-9	14	14.8	13.1	1.74	16.0	15.2	0.79
Jason Thompson	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-3	2	13.5	14.3	-0.81	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Bobby Jackson	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.49	5	-9	14	13.7	13.9	-0.27	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Beno Udrih	33	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	12	-28	13.8	13.7	0.02	16.0	15.3	0.71
Spencer Hawes	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	5	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.60	15.5	15.5	-0.02
John Salmons	92	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	13.9	11.9	2.03	15.3	18.0	-2.69
Kevin Martin	82	82	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	8	-20	13.3	15.9	-2.65	15.7	14.6	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.45,0.73,0	90.6%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	90.4%
HOU 119, SEA 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.24,0.26,0	89.7%