NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	9.8 [64]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +45.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	116		Comeback	5.2 [52]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -23.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.12,0.45	0.13	0.33	0.00	13	82%	0.54	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.16	0.01	17	72%	0.34	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Steve Francis	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.12	-0.03	0.01	21	70%	0.21	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	15	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.09
Matt Bullard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	0.01	16	65%	0.28	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.08
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	18	54%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	77%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	30	45%	-0.09	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	38.8	2.6	28.1	15.7	28.2	1.7	37.0	152.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +68.3%

HOU +14.3%

SEA -21.7%

SEA -8.3%

SEA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.2	120.2	117.2	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		102.4	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.6		102.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	15.4	12.4	18.3	15.3
SEA	14.2	12.3	13.8	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	93	92	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-7	17	15.1	18.3	-3.24	14.0	11.4	2.55
Kelvin Cato	70	70	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-6	15	16.0	13.6	2.37	14.6	11.9	2.74
Steve Francis	86	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.1	11.5	2.53
Shandon Anderson	91	91	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	15.3	15.7	-0.50	13.8	13.6	0.19
Cuttino Mobley	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	8	-13	15.8	14.6	1.25	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Kenny Thomas	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-6	15	13.8	18.1	-4.35	13.8	13.8	0.01
Moochie Norris	13	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	14.3	15.4	-1.13	11.5	14.1	-2.53
Anthony Miller	6	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	18.3	15.1	3.24	11.4	14.0	-2.55
Matt Bullard	14	15	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	11	-19	16.9	15.0	1.82	12.6	14.0	-1.41

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	26	26	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-9	15	12.3	14.3	-2.02	15.4	15.3	0.12
Ruben Patterson	61	61	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-3	3	13.5	14.3	-0.88	14.2	17.0	-2.73
Shammond Williams	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	13.1	14.9	-1.81	15.8	14.6	1.20
Rashard Lewis	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-9	15	13.2	15.2	-2.06	15.7	14.4	1.28
Gary Payton	97	96	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-5	7	13.7	16.5	-2.76	15.6	5.0	10.61
Vin Baker	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	10	-23	15.3	12.1	3.16	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Horace Grant	62	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	3	-9	14.0	13.4	0.63	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Brent Barry	68	70	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.43	-15	12	-27	14.7	11.9	2.76	15.3	15.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.24,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 101, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	92.3%
TOR 99, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.16,0	91.3%
NJN 89, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.26,0	90.9%