inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement9.4 [100] MVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): +49.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 113 Comeback7.5 [194] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -22.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.500,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.47,0.50.110.39-0.001469%0.572-0.07450%-0.10
Carmelo Anthony0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,-0.11,0.230.040.190.002951%0.292-0.065100%0.02
Chris Andersen0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.10-0.00675%0.1900.00450%-0.03
Nene0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.11-0.000.021374%0.212-0.1310%-0.01
Linas Kleiza0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.02844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Johan Petro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01837%-0.012-0.043100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.040.02940%-0.063-0.072100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.230.230.140.110.021965%0.292-0.061080%0.07
Jeff Green0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.15-0.020.001483%0.273-0.141100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.08-0.01861%0.153-0.07250%-0.03
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00763%0.112-0.06580%0.01
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.02-0.03844%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00542%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Kyle Weaver0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.01614%-0.101-0.022100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.13,-0.21,-0.1,-0.22-0.22-0.04-0.160.021749%-0.074-0.16757%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.432.815.622.42.536.0139.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +60.0%
OKC -8.4%
OKC -15.9%
DEN +12.2%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game14.315.015.5114.0116.5106.4
season14.414.9109.5100.5
opponent15.115.7106.6105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.814.316.614.514.3
OKC16.410.016.119.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene77770.71-0.210.910.449-81714.812.62.2016.110.95.15
J.R. Smith61590.62-0.120.740.456-51113.515.5-2.0115.114.80.33
Linas Kleiza54520.480.020.460.422-1314.014.6-0.5713.416.8-3.34
Anthony Carter74710.450.050.400.63-67-1314.613.31.2914.217.1-2.85
Carmelo Anthony83800.320.180.140.204-3714.513.01.5215.512.43.13
Chris Andersen42400.180.32-0.130.1510113.714.6-0.9015.814.41.38
Renaldo Balkman42400.040.46-0.41-0.043-2514.014.4-0.3716.014.21.80
Dahntay Jones4747-0.050.55-0.610.03-34-715.013.61.3615.314.70.56
Johan Petro2019-0.250.75-1.000.07-1112-2312.914.6-1.6410.416.1-5.68

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson49490.03-0.530.57-0.2610-112113.616.4-2.7814.014.5-0.59
Nenad Krstic4847-0.13-0.370.24-0.275-61115.214.80.4313.814.7-0.85
Joe Smith3030-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.20-32-514.515.2-0.7113.214.7-1.51
Jeff Green8489-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.506-71314.617.5-2.8514.99.35.60
Nick Collison4953-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.20-65-1114.815.2-0.4314.713.80.85
Kevin Durant8586-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.27-43-715.412.13.3214.313.90.39
Russell Westbrook7072-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.19-76-1315.214.50.6514.214.4-0.23
Kyle Weaver7074-0.640.14-0.79-0.47-65-1115.912.53.4214.114.6-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 92, NJN 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,090.8%
IND 97, TOR 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,089.8%
SEA 105, SAC 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.17,089.1%