NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	105		Excitement	9.5 [49]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +17.4%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	7.5 [91]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -39.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	19	72%	0.26	4	-0.11	5	20%	-0.12
Billy Owens	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Hersey Hawkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	10	55%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	5	19%	-0.14	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.10
Dale Ellis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	6	36%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.22,-0.21	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	21	54%	0.03	4	-0.24	10	90%	0.12

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	12	71%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.09	-0.01	8	63%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	27%	-0.04	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	4	56%	-0.01	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.24	0.01	9	50%	-0.23	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.10
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.21,-0.14,-0.27,-0.36,-0.39	-0.39	-0.19	-0.21	-0.01	21	43%	-0.09	7	-0.30	5	80%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	26.3	15.4	26.6	2.0	43.5	142.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +38.5%

SAC -17.7%

SEA +21.3%

SEA +3.8%

SEA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	15.8	101.9	99.0	99.6
season	15.4	14.1		102.4	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	16.6	14.3	13.4	14.2
SAC	12.3	13.4	14.0	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	96	96	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-10	23	13.7	22.0	-8.33	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Vin Baker	79	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	14.7	12.7	1.99	14.1	12.3	1.89
Hersey Hawkins	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	13.2	16.5	-3.33	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Olden Polynice	74	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-3	9	14.5	13.7	0.80	13.7	13.7	-0.03
Dale Ellis	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	2	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.2	13.4	0.74
Detlef Schrempf	73	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	7	-11	14.8	12.8	2.07	13.2	15.1	-1.98
Billy Owens	42	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	1	1	14.7	13.9	0.73	14.2	13.4	0.78
Aaron Williams	39	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	12	-21	15.0	13.8	1.23	14.0	13.6	0.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	61	61	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.20	7	-10	17	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.0	13.2	1.76
Michael Hawkins	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	13.5	13.7	-0.24	15.3	14.2	1.13
Corliss Williamson	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	1	-5	13.5	14.0	-0.51	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Vernon Maxwell	33	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-12	21	13.4	13.9	-0.49	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	50	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	4	-11	14.4	13.1	1.23	14.8	13.7	1.05
Jon Barry	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-8	13	13.1	14.2	-1.13	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Peja Stojakovic	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-4	5	14.1	13.2	0.85	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Chris Webber	89	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	1	-5	13.6	14.4	-0.81	14.5	12.8	1.67
Jason Williams	84	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	8	-19	13.4	15.3	-1.95	13.5	17.2	-3.74
Lawrence Funderburke	41	42	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	8	-19	14.7	13.1	1.67	13.9	14.5	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.05,0	91.4%
TOR 92, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.16,0	90.4%
ORL 88, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	90.4%