NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	90		Excitement	8.4 [183]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +35.2%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	1.8 [733]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -26.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.15,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	14	44%	0.15	1	-0.14	8	100%	0.12
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.06,-0.02,0.08,-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	-0.03	31	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.14	-0.01	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.17	-0.04	11	82%	0.37	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.3	0.30	0.03	0.26	-0.01	15	56%	0.34	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.09
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	10	41%	-0.04	4	-0.23	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.4	28.3	16.8	28.2	2.7	36.2	145.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +79.0%

MIA -31.2%

DET +27.8%

MIA -24.6%

MIA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DET	NBA	MIA	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	16.3	15.5	105.9	108.1	106.4
season	16.0	16.9		105.9	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.7		106.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.5	18.4	19.2	13.9	17.4
DET	14.2	16.8	16.0	18.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	26	27	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-10	17	15.6	18.2	-2.63	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Joel Anthony	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	19.6	17.0	2.60	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Chris Quinn	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	3	-9	20.7	16.7	3.97	13.9	16.8	-2.94
Jamaal Magloire	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	5	-13	19.2	16.4	2.79	14.3	17.3	-2.99
Shawn Marion	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	17.3	17.9	-0.60	17.1	12.1	4.95
Dwyane Wade	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-6	9	17.2	20.5	-3.25	15.9	23.5	-7.56
Udonis Haslem	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-6	9	17.1	19.0	-1.86	16.5	15.2	1.25
Mario Chalmers	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	17.1	18.6	-1.52	17.4	12.1	5.29
Michael Beasley	48	49	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.42	-9	6	-15	16.9	18.1	-1.21	16.3	16.3	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	69	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.68	-2	5	-7	15.1	21.2	-6.16	17.0	18.8	-1.82
Rodney Stuckey	67	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-5	13	16.8	14.4	2.47	17.3	17.8	-0.46
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	4	-5	16.1	16.8	-0.69	17.1	18.3	-1.24
Antonio McDyess	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-3	9	17.1	14.6	2.48	16.7	18.9	-2.13
Allen Iverson	56	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.31	-2	5	-7	15.6	17.7	-2.11	17.9	16.6	1.24
Amir Johnson	15	16	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	1	1	16.5	16.3	0.21	22.3	16.3	6.05
Arron Afflalo	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	1	1	15.6	16.6	-0.99	17.3	17.4	-0.17
Richard Hamilton	49	48	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	3	-3	16.4	16.2	0.23	17.0	17.9	-0.87
Jason Maxiell	27	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.18	2	1	1	18.6	15.2	3.41	17.7	17.3	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.59,0.59,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.83,1	91.3%
DEN 100, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	91.0%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	90.9%