inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement9.1 [129] MVPJared Sullinger (BOS): +24.8%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback1.8 [569] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -21.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.110.01881%0.241-0.025100%0.02
Alonzo Gee0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.002100%0.1000.002100%0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01770%0.082-0.036100%0.03
JJ Hickson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01430%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Erick Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.040.06-0.10-0.001568%0.204-0.244100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.1-0.130.020.00929%-0.023-0.08683%0.07
Darrell Arthur-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01714%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.120,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.120.01-0.110.011747%-0.101-0.01475%-0.01
Wilson Chandler-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.06-0.09-0.00840%-0.002-0.144100%0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.250.250.030.20-0.021250%0.2500.00450%0.06
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.00981%0.181-0.043100%0.02
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.011254%0.112-0.042100%0.02
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.060.011252%0.112-0.05367%-0.00
Phil Pressey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.011333%-0.0300.001100%0.00
James Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.00944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.030.011553%0.013-0.072100%0.03
Evan Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.020.021132%-0.073-0.0700%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21-0.21-0.08-0.120.01629%-0.152-0.0620%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.328.615.726.22.536.6134.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +19.9%
DEN -18.5%
BOS +22.1%
BOS +24.8%
BOS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game14.015.215.1102.0105.1104.2
season14.614.3103.4103.1
opponent15.415.3103.3106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.115.512.216.714.0
BOS14.613.917.814.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic4345-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-5613.314.6-1.2615.315.10.16
Kenneth Faried6467-0.11-0.390.27-0.4411-152614.712.81.9415.015.7-0.76
Danilo Gallinari5050-0.14-0.360.23-0.08-2-2014.513.60.8815.514.90.60
Gary Harris1111-0.15-0.350.200.06-73-1016.113.82.3215.515.20.39
JJ Hickson1514-0.20-0.300.100.09-106-1614.613.90.6714.215.4-1.15
Erick Green1010-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-84-1214.714.00.7513.015.4-2.45
Ty Lawson8889-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.374-81214.014.7-0.7515.413.02.45
Alonzo Gee2118-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.291-5614.014.1-0.1017.814.63.22
Wilson Chandler7475-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.424-81214.313.11.2015.115.6-0.50
Arron Afflalo7477-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.361-5613.615.4-1.7815.115.6-0.50
Darrell Arthur4039-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-1511-2612.714.9-2.2514.615.6-0.93

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart85840.70-0.200.890.4010-61614.917.0-2.0914.412.02.37
Jared Sullinger40420.440.060.380.1211-71815.614.90.7115.413.02.45
James Young39400.400.100.29-0.0114-102415.315.20.0915.013.31.68
Brandon Bass49470.370.130.250.46-37-1014.715.7-0.9713.714.4-0.71
Evan Turner64620.300.200.100.47-610-1615.015.6-0.6213.814.5-0.70
Marcus Thornton40420.230.27-0.03-0.039-51415.914.71.2613.614.4-0.80
Jae Crowder54540.120.38-0.260.0040415.115.3-0.2413.714.5-0.81
Avery Bradley68650.100.40-0.310.39-1014-2415.215.2-0.0313.814.4-0.55
Tyler Zeller5654-0.140.64-0.790.12-913-2215.614.70.8513.215.0-1.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 93, DET 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.58,191.4%
CHI 78, NYK 850.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.96,191.3%
NJN 107, PHI 1080.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,191.2%