NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	6.9 [397]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +12.0%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.4 [507]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -25.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	15	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.05
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	4	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	18	30%	-0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	17	34%	-0.13	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	59%	0.12	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	13	60%	0.09	4	-0.14	9	78%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.03	0.00	16	44%	0.11	6	-0.21	13	46%	-0.06
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	29.7	15.8	28.0	0.1	38.3	139.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.3%

NYK +6.8%

NYK +22.0%

CHI -20.7%

CHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.4	82.1	88.5	105.7
season	15.0	15.7		102.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	16.5	11.9	16.7	15.2
NYK	15.2	13.0	16.9	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	35	34	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-11	15	15.5	15.0	0.46	15.4	14.7	0.64
Aaron Gray	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	18.0	15.2	2.84	16.0	14.9	1.09
Tyrus Thomas	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	15.2	15.2	0.04	16.0	14.4	1.60
Joakim Noah	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-5	3	17.0	14.9	2.06	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Thabo Sefolosha	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-4	1	17.4	13.9	3.45	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Joe Smith	35	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	14.2	15.8	-1.57	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Kirk Hinrich	86	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-5	3	14.9	18.1	-3.19	15.1	13.5	1.60
Andres Nocioni	80	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	14.9	16.7	-1.80	15.5	11.7	3.80
Ben Wallace	85	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.8	-0.65	15.0	14.3	0.71
Ben Gordon	72	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	5	-17	14.8	16.4	-1.54	14.7	15.8	-1.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	76	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-9	25	14.7	15.7	-1.03	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Eddy Curry	73	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.29	13	-6	19	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Quentin Richardson	63	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-3	13	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.2	15.2	0.09
Jamal Crawford	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	14.7	16.3	-1.58	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Renaldo Balkman	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	10	-13	15.6	14.5	1.09	15.9	14.8	1.08
Fred Jones	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	13.7	15.2	-1.50	15.7	15.1	0.64
David Lee	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	13.9	15.3	-1.42	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Zach Randolph	63	61	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	2	3	14.6	15.7	-1.11	15.7	14.3	1.40
Jared Jeffries	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	17	-27	16.0	14.5	1.50	15.1	15.3	-0.11
Nate Robinson	20	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	15	-23	16.9	14.4	2.48	15.4	15.2	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.3%
HOU 107, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.99,1	92.2%
PHX 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	92.2%