NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	4.4 [948]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +23.2%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	1.8 [919]		LVP	David West (NOH): -14.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	0.05	0.04	22	78%	0.31	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	21	38%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	-0.00	10	100%	0.24	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	6	108%	0.14	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	18	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	12	34%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	26.6	15.7	26.0	2.0	25.2	123.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.9%

SAS +6.9%

NOH -5.0%

SAS +7.6%

SAS +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAS	NBA	NOH	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	102.2	116.5	106.4
season	16.6	16.4		105.9	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.0	14.9	14.8	18.6	15.8
SAS	15.0	17.0	15.2	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-11	9	15.7	15.8	-0.05	16.8	15.7	1.03
Hilton Armstrong	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-11	9	15.1	16.3	-1.17	15.3	16.4	-1.05
Antonio Daniels	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	18.8	14.2	4.67	16.0	15.8	0.12
Devin Brown	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	18.5	14.6	3.89	16.7	15.6	1.07
Rasual Butler	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	14.6	17.0	-2.40	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Chris Paul	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	14.6	18.5	-3.89	15.6	16.7	-1.07
James Posey	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	16.3	14.9	1.37	16.4	15.2	1.14
Peja Stojakovic	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	13.9	19.7	-5.72	16.0	15.6	0.45
Sean Marks	36	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	17.1	14.9	2.19	16.1	15.7	0.41
David West	80	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	2	-17	16.0	13.8	2.21	15.6	18.3	-2.71

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.04	21	-8	29	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.9	15.4	0.46
Tony Parker	67	68	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.08	22	-9	31	15.7	16.4	-0.72	15.9	15.5	0.37
Michael Finley	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-5	23	15.1	17.8	-2.63	17.6	11.0	6.56
Matt Bonner	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	15.2	16.8	-1.63	15.8	15.7	0.17
Manu Ginobili	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-1	15	15.9	15.9	-0.02	14.0	17.9	-3.90
Roger Mason Jr.	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	13	-13	16.2	15.2	1.03	16.0	15.2	0.74
Kurt Thomas	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	15.8	15.9	-0.08	17.3	15.0	2.27
Bruce Bowen	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	17.8	15.3	2.48	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Ime Udoka	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	21.5	15.8	5.74	7.0	16.0	-8.96
Malik Hairston	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	21.5	15.8	5.74	7.0	16.0	-8.96
Fabricio Oberto	11	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	22	-31	16.8	15.8	1.06	13.2	16.2	-2.99
George Hill	17	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.20	-11	24	-35	17.1	15.6	1.44	13.4	16.3	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 83, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	95.5%
MEM 87, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%