NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	4.6 [872]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +30.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	105		Comeback	1.4 [757]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -7.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	20	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	45%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	18	55%	0.11	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.28	0.04	0.01	25	76%	0.31	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.03	-0.06	23	56%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.10	6	73%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.3	14.7	24.3	2.6	31.2	126.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +42.6%

MEM -9.5%

CHA +0.3%

CHA +12.6%

CHA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.4	94.6	112.9	105.7
season	14.9	15.8		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		107.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	15.4	17.1	15.8	16.0
CHA	12.2	17.3	13.6	18.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	15	17	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-17	16	15.5	16.1	-0.60	17.1	14.7	2.31
Kyle Lowry	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-16	14	15.3	16.3	-0.99	17.5	14.0	3.56
Casey Jacobsen	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-15	12	14.8	16.0	-1.21	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Stromile Swift	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-15	12	15.8	16.0	-0.21	17.4	14.8	2.66
Darko Milicic	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-12	6	17.2	15.7	1.56	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Pau Gasol	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-11	4	15.8	16.7	-0.94	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Bobby Jones	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	16.2	15.0	1.24	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Juan Carlos Navarro	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-1	-16	15.8	17.9	-2.05	15.3	14.3	0.93
Rudy Gay	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	1	-20	16.3	14.5	1.79	14.4	19.4	-5.04
Mike Conley	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	2	-22	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.4	17.8	-3.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	1	16	15.2	15.0	0.17	16.2	15.1	1.09
Gerald Wallace	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	0	18	14.8	22.7	-7.92	16.0	14.3	1.69
Emeka Okafor	55	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	3	12	14.6	16.0	-1.40	16.7	14.8	1.88
Raymond Felton	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	2	14	14.6	17.1	-2.52	16.3	14.6	1.75
Jason Richardson	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	4	10	14.9	16.6	-1.68	15.9	16.1	-0.13
Jared Dudley	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	14	-10	17.5	14.8	2.75	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Matt Carroll	47	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	15	-12	16.3	14.0	2.36	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Nazr Mohammed	38	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	15	-12	16.0	14.6	1.40	14.8	16.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 82, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 93, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%