NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	4.5 [923]		MVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): +11.7%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	1.4 [1211]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	10	32%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	6	73%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	19	51%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	17	39%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.5	15.6	28.0	2.5	28.4	128.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.6%

DAL +1.6%

DAL +8.2%

MEM -4.2%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.5	89.1	109.9	106.4
season	16.1	15.6		101.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	17.8	13.7	17.1	16.2
DAL	13.0	15.7	15.8	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-16	14	18.1	15.2	2.94	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Kyle Lowry	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-19	20	13.8	18.9	-5.11	15.9	14.6	1.38
Quinton Ross	37	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-16	14	16.4	16.0	0.47	13.8	16.3	-2.47
Greg Buckner	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-10	2	17.7	15.1	2.59	15.9	15.0	0.90
Hakim Warrick	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-14	10	17.1	14.7	2.38	15.6	14.9	0.67
Rudy Gay	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-8	-2	14.7	18.9	-4.27	16.4	13.3	3.08
Darko Milicic	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-8	-2	14.5	17.5	-3.05	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Mike Conley	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	1	-20	18.9	13.8	5.11	14.6	15.9	-1.38
Darrell Arthur	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-6	-6	15.4	16.9	-1.52	15.7	15.0	0.72
O.J. Mayo	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	6	-30	16.4	15.7	0.67	15.1	15.8	-0.65

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	64	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	-4	26	14.5	17.3	-2.81	15.3	18.2	-2.90
James Singleton	30	29	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	1	16	13.5	16.2	-2.66	17.6	15.5	2.14
Jason Terry	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	3	12	14.7	16.5	-1.77	17.7	13.0	4.73
Erick Dampier	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	6	6	14.1	16.9	-2.87	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Josh Howard	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	13	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.71	15.8	16.8	-0.94
Devean George	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	5	8	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.1	17.6	-2.48
Jose Juan Barea	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	19	-20	17.3	14.1	3.20	17.3	15.5	1.86
Dirk Nowitzki	67	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	16.3	12.7	3.55	15.4	18.3	-2.81
Brandon Bass	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	12	-6	17.6	14.6	3.00	16.3	16.1	0.22
DeSagana Diop	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	19	-20	15.9	15.2	0.71	20.1	15.6	4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.6%
PHX 114, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 83, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	95.5%