NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	6.9 [442]		MVP	Joey Graham (TOR): +18.0%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.1 [406]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -11.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.06	0.02	4	88%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	13	58%	0.18	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	70%	0.10	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	9	85%	0.25	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.03	21	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.15	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.08	-0.17	0.02	17	54%	-0.08	1	-0.04	12	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.2	28.9	14.8	27.2	2.5	33.5	131.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.9%

TOR +7.4%

TOR +0.4%

TOR +1.3%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	116.3	115.2	106.4
season	15.1	16.0		105.0	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.5	17.1	14.8	16.8	15.5
NJN	15.8	18.9	15.9	13.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	38	39	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	15.3	15.6	-0.34	16.4	15.4	1.08
Joey Graham	51	49	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.2	15.4	0.83
Anthony Parker	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-2	5	14.6	18.4	-3.75	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Chris Bosh	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	2	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.78	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-7	15	16.2	15.0	1.20	17.9	14.3	3.59
Jamario Moon	73	73	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	7	-13	15.9	13.8	2.14	14.8	19.8	-5.01
Jose Calderon	72	73	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.32	-7	8	-15	16.1	13.3	2.73	14.9	19.5	-4.61
Jake Voskuhl	2	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	-1	3	6.0	15.7	-9.70	10.5	15.9	-5.43
Roko Leni Ukic	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	2	-3	18.0	15.4	2.62	31.0	15.1	15.87
Andrea Bargnani	41	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	8	-15	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.4	15.3	1.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	29	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-10	19	14.5	16.4	-1.90	16.2	15.2	1.01
Brook Lopez	68	68	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.15	8	-9	17	14.9	18.4	-3.52	15.9	14.2	1.73
Eduardo Najera	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	22.1	14.7	7.46	13.3	15.8	-2.54
Bobby Simmons	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	15.1	17.9	-2.80	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Josh Boone	23	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	8	-17	18.3	15.0	3.38	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Devin Harris	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	15.5	18.9	-3.41	16.0	11.6	4.36
Vince Carter	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-1	1	15.2	19.0	-3.81	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Keyon Dooling	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	2	-5	16.5	14.6	1.92	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Jarvis Hayes	40	39	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	9	-19	16.7	15.1	1.57	15.2	15.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.05,0	94.0%
DAL 110, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
NYK 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0	93.3%