NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	10.4 [52]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +23.0%
Denver Nuggets	119		Comeback	6.8 [188]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -23.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.45,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	18	61%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	77%	0.24	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.04
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.07	-0.04	0.03	9	75%	0.15	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	18	44%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	5	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	11	23%	-0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	11	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.08	0.02	18	52%	0.16	4	-0.10	14	93%	0.06
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.08,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	23	47%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.05
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.09	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	18	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.1	3.5	36.5	19.6	31.1	3.4	31.6	2.6	20.9	179.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +41.5%

PHX -19.1%

PHX -3.4%

DEN +28.5%

DEN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	13.1	15.5	100.9	105.3	106.4
season	14.1	14.4		112.1	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.9	15.5	15.6	16.7	13.6	15.2
DEN	12.8	11.6	12.7	15.3	13.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	29	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-12	18	14.4	15.5	-1.01	13.1	13.1	-0.02
Alando Tucker	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-4	2	18.8	14.9	3.89	9.4	13.4	-3.99
Jared Dudley	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.1	1.00	12.5	13.1	-0.62
Grant Hill	91	92	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-12	18	15.0	16.0	-1.05	13.2	12.4	0.80
Matt Barnes	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-3	0	15.2	15.2	0.06	12.0	14.0	-2.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-8	10	15.0	15.6	-0.59	13.8	11.8	2.00
Leandro Barbosa	58	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	15.0	15.4	-0.41	13.9	12.1	1.86
Robin Lopez	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	13	-32	16.0	14.5	1.50	12.0	13.9	-1.87
Jason Richardson	94	95	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	2	-10	15.2	15.3	-0.10	13.2	12.6	0.56
Steve Nash	97	97	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	3	-12	15.0	16.2	-1.16	13.3	12.0	1.26

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	91	90	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-8	22	13.3	12.1	1.17	15.3	14.9	0.36
J.R. Smith	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-11	28	13.9	11.5	2.41	16.2	13.0	3.20
Chauncey Billups	98	97	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-1	8	13.3	11.5	1.78	14.7	18.5	-3.78
Dahntay Jones	50	50	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	10.9	14.8	-3.98	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Chris Andersen	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	6	-6	12.8	13.2	-0.33	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Kenyon Martin	88	87	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	6	-6	13.3	12.2	1.08	15.2	15.1	0.15
Anthony Carter	66	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.45	-13	19	-32	12.9	13.3	-0.45	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Linas Kleiza	63	64	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.21	-6	12	-18	13.2	13.0	0.21	15.5	14.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.85,0.9,0.75,0.45,0.32,0.53,0.54,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.77,0.72,1	87.5%
POR 94, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,1,1	86.6%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	86.5%