NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	80		Excitement	6.8 [466]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +55.8%
Detroit Pistons	78		Comeback	19.0 [37]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -24.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.56	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.56	0.13	0.43	-0.00	15	70%	0.60	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.07	0.00	9	33%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	14	53%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	7%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	11	73%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	38%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.04	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.24	-0.24	0.03	-0.25	0.02	14	57%	0.01	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	25.8	17.0	25.2	3.3	36.9	135.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.1%

DET -0.7%

CHA +0.7%

CHA +20.6%

CHA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	17.9	15.5	93.0	90.7	106.4
season	16.5	16.9		103.0	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		106.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	15.2	16.4	16.9	15.6
DET	18.7	16.1	17.9	19.1	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-8	18	15.2	19.6	-4.34	17.6	21.0	-3.37
Emeka Okafor	56	55	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.54	5	-3	8	15.7	15.3	0.43	19.1	15.8	3.33
Raja Bell	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	0	2	15.5	15.8	-0.25	17.7	18.5	-0.75
Raymond Felton	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	1	0	15.6	15.5	0.04	17.5	20.3	-2.82
Boris Diaw	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.52	-5	7	-12	15.4	16.0	-0.62	17.3	19.6	-2.26
Sean Singletary	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	-1	4	15.9	15.5	0.40	21.3	17.2	4.04
Nazr Mohammed	21	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	1	0	15.4	15.6	-0.20	17.6	18.0	-0.41
Adam Morrison	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	18.0	15.4	2.57	20.6	17.7	2.86
Matt Carroll	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	4	-6	15.5	15.6	-0.10	17.4	18.0	-0.58
Juwan Howard	33	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.16	0	2	-2	16.2	15.2	1.02	17.5	18.2	-0.64

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-1	0	18.7	17.7	1.10	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Rasheed Wallace	53	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-8	14	17.7	18.2	-0.54	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Amir Johnson	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	16.4	18.3	-1.92	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Arron Afflalo	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	20.6	17.4	3.19	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Will Bynum	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	20.6	17.4	3.19	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Antonio McDyess	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.11	-3	1	-4	17.7	18.2	-0.50	15.9	15.2	0.62
Allen Iverson	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.52	9	-11	20	17.1	20.6	-3.51	15.7	15.0	0.75
Tayshaun Prince	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	1	-4	17.6	19.1	-1.49	15.6	15.3	0.35
Rodney Stuckey	68	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.57	-2	0	-2	17.2	20.6	-3.35	15.8	14.9	0.87
Richard Hamilton	61	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	4	-10	19.2	14.6	4.61	15.9	14.8	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, MIA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.42,0	94.7%
WAS 88, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.58,0	92.1%
MIL 102, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.72,0.68,0.27,0	91.8%