inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 75 Excitement7.1 [385] MVPJon Barry (DET): +18.6%
Miami Heat 72 Comeback13.3 [124] LVPTravis Best (MIA): -23.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.100.00786%0.221-0.0300%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.19-0.040.22-0.001147%0.1900.00850%-0.06
Zeljko Rebraca0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.00757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00444%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.00553%-0.0300.00540%-0.06
Richard Hamilton-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.040.001741%-0.0900.007100%0.09
Hubert Davis-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.07-0.00642%-0.073-0.0700%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.200,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.06-0.021129%-0.104-0.1020%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001256%0.071-0.031100%0.01
Eddie House00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.02642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.080.000.011348%-0.013-0.07786%0.03
Malik Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01728%-0.082-0.04475%-0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.040.00425%-0.091-0.04475%-0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.10-0.011347%-0.131-0.021090%-0.02
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.140.00933%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23-0.23-0.05-0.170.02743%-0.152-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.030.115.725.01.839.2140.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +72.9%
MIA -15.3%
MIA -6.8%
MIA -1.1%
DET +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game18.018.215.594.990.0101.6
season16.816.3101.794.6
opponent15.915.6100.797.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.617.521.517.218.0
MIA16.117.620.818.818.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry33340.83-0.331.170.4812-92117.318.5-1.2118.218.20.03
Corliss Williamson39400.82-0.331.150.4114-112516.819.2-2.4619.317.02.32
Ben Wallace68690.67-0.170.840.467-41117.720.2-2.4918.019.6-1.68
Chucky Atkins56580.440.060.380.4403-317.619.0-1.3618.018.6-0.56
Richard Hamilton60600.420.080.350.45-14-518.317.21.0918.317.90.38
Zeljko Rebraca34320.200.30-0.11-0.1010-71717.618.3-0.6919.517.32.19
Hubert Davis23220.150.35-0.200.0630319.017.61.3618.618.00.56
Tayshaun Prince3233-0.360.86-1.22-0.01-1215-2719.217.21.9816.919.1-2.23
Clifford Robinson5052-0.681.18-1.86-0.15-1821-3919.116.13.0017.519.5-1.96

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler54550.24-0.740.990.134-71118.417.70.7918.517.01.55
Malik Allen40410.19-0.690.880.074-71117.918.4-0.4720.215.74.59
LaPhonso Ellis870.12-0.620.74-0.025-81314.118.6-4.5112.418.6-6.15
Rasual Butler20190.09-0.590.690.003-6916.818.6-1.8518.417.90.50
Brian Grant6362-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.463-6918.118.5-0.4317.819.1-1.30
Travis Best5859-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.44-1-2118.517.31.2618.616.52.06
Eddie Jones7270-0.580.08-0.65-0.43-52-718.317.21.0417.720.9-3.22
Mike James3634-0.790.29-1.09-0.50-107-1717.818.5-0.6916.918.9-1.98
Vladimir Stepania4948-0.850.35-1.20-0.32-1815-3319.216.62.5217.319.1-1.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 80, DET 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.78,0.42,094.7%
IND 90, TOR 880.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.58,091.8%
LAL 97, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,091.7%