NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	7.4 [348]		MVP	Shannon Brown (CHA): +30.2%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	8.3 [92]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -26.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.20	0.00	3	112%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	13	69%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Singletary	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.26	-0.14	-0.13	-0.00	9	41%	-0.01	6	-0.25	4	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	63%	0.08	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.07
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.14	0.00	9	67%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	13	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	13	54%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	4	50%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	28.3	2.3	33.5	135.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +84.9%

WAS -4.2%

WAS -26.4%

WAS -2.3%

WAS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	17.9	15.5	109.5	106.0	106.4
season	16.5	15.9		103.0	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		111.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	16.5	15.1	18.7	16.4
WAS	17.0	17.0	17.6	20.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	17	20	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.52	12	-9	21	18.5	15.9	2.58	20.0	17.2	2.80
Raymond Felton	70	71	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	16.7	15.2	1.44	18.0	17.2	0.85
Boris Diaw	56	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	15.2	18.8	-3.55	17.6	18.4	-0.84
Raja Bell	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	4	-5	15.4	20.9	-5.50	17.9	17.9	0.00
Emeka Okafor	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	5	-7	15.7	19.6	-3.96	18.3	16.2	2.12
Juwan Howard	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	18.1	15.5	2.63	18.0	17.8	0.25
Nazr Mohammed	15	16	0.04	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	20.9	15.4	5.50	16.7	18.1	-1.38
Adam Morrison	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	0	3	16.8	16.1	0.66	17.7	18.0	-0.34
D.J. Augustin	8	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	21.7	15.9	5.89	12.7	18.3	-5.60
Sean Singletary	13	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	8	-13	14.2	16.8	-2.59	17.2	18.0	-0.82
Gerald Wallace	38	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	9	-15	16.1	16.7	-0.57	17.7	18.0	-0.26

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	49	47	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.26	2	-5	7	18.7	16.8	1.88	15.0	18.2	-3.17
Javaris Crittenton	36	36	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.21	-3	0	-3	19.7	16.5	3.15	19.7	13.9	5.83
Andray Blatche	62	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-16	29	18.7	15.6	3.02	16.6	15.9	0.69
Juan Dixon	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	18.0	17.9	0.14	14.4	16.6	-2.26
Darius Songaila	23	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	17.5	18.0	-0.48	19.7	14.9	4.74
Antawn Jamison	60	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-7	11	18.3	16.7	1.57	15.8	17.8	-2.01
JaVale McGee	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	9	-21	16.4	18.8	-2.43	16.7	16.2	0.44
Caron Butler	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	17.2	19.9	-2.71	15.4	19.7	-4.37
Mike James	43	43	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.74	-3	0	-3	17.0	18.8	-1.73	13.7	19.3	-5.62
Nick Young	43	43	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.58	-9	6	-15	16.8	19.0	-2.11	18.2	14.5	3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.45,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.01,0,0	92.3%
NYK 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0	91.5%
CHI 99, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.22,0.15,0	91.1%