inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement12.7 [13] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +59.2%
Sacramento Kings 115 Comeback6.7 [235] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -21.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.590,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.07,0.590.060.53-0.002654%0.793-0.192475%0.05
Udonis Haslem0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12-0.010.130.00858%0.243-0.123100%0.03
Michael Beasley0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.080.10-0.020.001956%0.0800.00333%-0.02
Mario Chalmers0.080,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.00862%0.131-0.06560%-0.05
Shawn Marion0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00944%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.030.022100%0.042-0.072100%0.01
Daequan Cook-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.02950%-0.021-0.032100%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.080.00536%-0.061-0.05475%-0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.52,0.52,0.570.570.070.48-0.011173%0.683-0.11475%0.03
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,0.21,0.060.060.050.00-0.011855%0.213-0.151593%0.15
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.18-0.130.031476%0.173-0.151090%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.00745%0.081-0.07650%-0.07
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01437%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00725%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01633%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.030.00933%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.07-0.14-0.011037%-0.162-0.05475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.22.534.216.523.52.640.01.821.8173.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.6%
SAC -6.4%
SAC -10.9%
MIA +31.3%
SAC -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game14.114.315.5106.2102.7106.4
season16.015.0105.9104.0
opponent15.115.7112.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.114.114.012.414.214.1
SAC12.214.215.414.317.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire32290.88-0.381.260.4415-112613.714.3-0.5717.413.24.20
Dwyane Wade991010.69-0.180.870.3910-61614.213.40.8414.115.8-1.72
Daequan Cook75750.67-0.170.840.3810-61613.914.5-0.5814.613.61.01
Mario Chalmers89890.63-0.130.770.5240413.815.5-1.7014.214.4-0.16
Michael Beasley76730.460.040.430.4604-413.914.6-0.7614.513.80.65
James Jones760.030.47-0.440.0304-414.914.10.7818.514.04.47
Joel Anthony2425-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-15-614.913.90.9514.114.3-0.19
Chris Quinn1718-0.120.62-0.74-0.1204-414.614.00.5513.814.4-0.52
Udonis Haslem8082-0.320.82-1.15-0.06-913-2214.313.70.5713.217.3-4.10
Shawn Marion6162-0.330.83-1.16-0.07-913-2214.513.70.8413.715.0-1.29

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Brown20190.16-0.660.82-0.057-111813.914.3-0.4516.513.62.83
Mikki Moore1090.00-0.500.500.000-4413.014.4-1.3916.813.92.88
Kenny Thomas1816-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-4414.414.20.1414.014.1-0.15
Beno Udrih3434-0.08-0.420.340.07-51-613.914.4-0.4714.414.00.33
Jason Thompson4951-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-3-1-214.514.10.3914.913.51.43
Brad Miller8686-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.393-71014.015.1-1.1013.815.2-1.44
Kevin Martin9899-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-6813.917.1-3.2914.015.0-0.99
John Salmons8889-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.361-5613.915.7-1.7814.014.5-0.44
Francisco Garcia4847-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-62-815.513.32.1614.413.90.44
Bobby Jackson4848-0.580.08-0.67-0.26-117-1815.013.71.2113.214.8-1.64
Spencer Hawes6162-0.600.10-0.69-0.36-84-1214.613.80.7813.614.8-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.72,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 99, BOS 940.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.05,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.15,088.6%
SAS 85, ORL 830.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,087.8%
MIL 94, IND 900.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,087.6%