NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	7.8 [279]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +26.2%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.6 [784]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.24	0.22	0.04	0.02	14	87%	0.47	1	-0.23	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	15	71%	0.21	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.13	0.02	10	86%	0.27	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.07,0.26	0.26	-0.08	0.30	-0.03	17	44%	0.39	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	9	78%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	70%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.09	0.02	15	68%	0.15	2	-0.12	8	50%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.5	15.8	25.1	2.5	27.3	124.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +42.0%

PHI -3.0%

PHI -3.7%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	17.8	15.5	119.1	124.1	106.4
season	15.5	16.4		105.3	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	14.5	14.6	15.0	15.0
SAS	15.6	17.5	19.0	19.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	16	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-10	18	13.3	15.4	-2.04	17.0	17.9	-0.94
Theo Ratliff	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.35	9	-11	20	13.2	15.7	-2.43	19.2	17.2	1.99
Samuel Dalembert	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	16.9	14.1	2.83	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Willie Green	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	17.0	13.3	3.65	16.8	18.6	-1.81
Marreese Speights	35	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	3	-8	14.7	15.2	-0.55	17.3	18.0	-0.70
Thaddeus Young	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.08	-12	10	-22	15.6	13.0	2.60	17.8	17.6	0.18
Andre Iguodala	77	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-4	6	14.9	15.7	-0.78	17.8	17.6	0.18
Lou Williams	50	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-5	8	13.5	16.9	-3.49	18.5	16.8	1.74
Andre Miller	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	5	-12	15.6	13.1	2.51	17.6	18.2	-0.55
Royal Ivey	39	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.58	3	-5	8	13.6	16.1	-2.44	18.3	17.4	0.87

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	59	59	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.26	26	-24	50	17.7	18.0	-0.29	15.5	14.0	1.49
Tim Duncan	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	-1	4	17.7	17.9	-0.22	15.6	13.6	1.99
Tony Parker	68	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-3	8	17.5	18.7	-1.17	15.6	12.9	2.66
Michael Finley	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.52	-4	6	-10	18.0	17.1	0.87	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Matt Bonner	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	2	-2	17.6	17.9	-0.31	16.2	13.5	2.67
Anthony Tolliver	11	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	14.9	18.2	-3.28	12.3	15.4	-3.07
Manu Ginobili	51	55	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.39	-11	13	-24	17.7	17.9	-0.25	14.5	15.7	-1.16
George Hill	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	4	-6	18.3	17.7	0.63	10.6	15.8	-5.24
Kurt Thomas	28	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	2	-2	18.0	17.6	0.39	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Bruce Bowen	30	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	12	-22	19.1	17.1	2.08	14.8	15.1	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	91.8%
MIL 88, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.83,0.55,0.78,0.72,1	91.1%
MEM 107, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.92,1	90.8%