inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 103 Excitement7.4 [379] MVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): +41.6%
Boston Celtics 111 Comeback1.3 [855] LVPJae Crowder (BOS): -14.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.220.140.100.021085%0.271-0.0500%0.00
Dennis Schroder0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.060.12-0.011461%0.242-0.05580%-0.00
Mike Scott0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.003100%0.141-0.0500%0.00
Kent Bazemore0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.011949%0.041-0.02367%-0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.001753%0.094-0.119100%0.04
Mike Muscala-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.00217%-0.041-0.05250%-0.02
Al Horford-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.06-0.001040%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.04-0.060.01940%-0.081-0.032100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.420.420.260.170.022467%0.441-0.021587%0.03
Amir Johnson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.060.12-0.01883%0.243-0.05250%-0.01
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.05-0.00267%0.0800.002100%0.02
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.05-0.011246%0.0700.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.01669%0.184-0.15475%-0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.05-0.031450%0.185-0.15667%0.01
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00462%0.021-0.0200%0.00
RJ Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.03-0.021115%-0.1500.00425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.43.528.215.831.12.641.2153.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +33.3%
BOS +16.8%
BOS +4.6%
ATL -2.0%
ATL -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLBOSNBAATLBOSNBA
this game13.615.514.9104.0112.1105.1
season14.213.9104.1104.5
opponent15.015.1101.9100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.113.914.811.913.6
BOS13.616.817.214.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Scott4040-0.05-0.450.40-0.226-142013.913.40.4816.714.62.09
Thabo Sefolosha3940-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-8813.713.60.1815.915.20.71
Mike Muscala87-0.11-0.390.270.06-6-2-414.613.51.089.415.9-6.48
Dennis Schroder4444-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-91014.313.11.1516.714.52.17
Tim Hardaway Jr.98-0.13-0.370.240.10-80-816.013.42.6012.015.8-3.76
Kirk Hinrich54-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-4013.813.60.1713.715.5-1.78
Kyle Korver5961-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-5213.413.9-0.4815.914.81.04
Paul Millsap7577-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-4013.613.7-0.1515.615.10.47
Kent Bazemore7473-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-6413.414.5-1.1315.216.2-1.00
Jeff Teague6767-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.26-80-813.314.3-1.0014.916.7-1.87
Al Horford7574-0.530.03-0.57-0.18-124-1613.414.3-0.9215.216.1-0.84

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko75760.64-0.140.780.2314-62015.515.40.0513.613.60.04
Evan Turner72700.63-0.130.770.3111-31415.415.7-0.2913.414.3-0.90
Marcus Smart67690.480.020.460.2871615.315.7-0.3413.414.2-0.76
Isaiah Thomas77770.380.120.260.2935-215.016.9-1.8713.514.3-0.82
Amir Johnson62610.340.160.190.2053216.513.82.6713.613.60.01
Jae Crowder71690.270.230.040.1544015.216.1-0.9613.713.60.10
RJ Hunter16170.090.41-0.31-0.1171612.716.0-3.3014.613.41.15
Jared Sullinger2325-0.160.66-0.83-0.08-311-1414.015.9-1.8914.313.40.86
Terry Rozier3231-0.180.68-0.850.06-816-2417.914.33.6714.113.40.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 107, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.92,192.6%
PHX 103, LAC 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,0.98,192.5%
UTA 82, PHX 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,192.1%