NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	5.0 [497]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +12.4%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.3 [333]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -23.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Thurl Bailey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	19	58%	0.11	4	-0.14	10	100%	0.07
Todd Fuller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	13	45%	-0.08	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.10	-0.06	6	0%	-0.15	2	-0.08	4	0%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.05	11	64%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	14	70%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	17	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	24.8	14.8	28.2	2.6	29.4	123.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.5%

UTA -1.4%

UTA -5.6%

PHX +20.7%

UTA -9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.8	96.5	105.8	99.6
season	16.4	15.3		102.6	102.7
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.3	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	15.9	19.0	19.0	17.8
PHX	15.9	14.8	17.9	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-9	9	15.8	18.0	-2.24	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Adam Keefe	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	17.4	17.9	-0.49	16.0	15.9	0.10
Greg Foster	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	14.7	18.3	-3.62	18.7	15.5	3.22
Howard Eisley	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-5	1	18.4	17.3	1.08	16.2	15.7	0.52
Thurl Bailey	16	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-5	1	19.2	17.4	1.82	18.1	15.4	2.71
Greg Ostertag	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	18.7	16.1	2.64	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Bryon Russell	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	17.4	19.1	-1.64	16.0	15.6	0.44
John Stockton	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	17.3	18.4	-1.08	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Shandon Anderson	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	18.9	17.1	1.81	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Jeff Hornacek	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	17.3	19.0	-1.76	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Karl Malone	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	17.9	17.2	0.64	15.6	17.8	-2.23

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Kleine	62	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-9	27	16.1	15.4	0.70	18.1	17.0	1.16
George McCloud	34	35	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	0	9	16.5	15.5	0.96	17.1	18.2	-1.13
Jason Kidd	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	15.3	21.0	-5.68	18.2	14.7	3.49
Clifford Robinson	73	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	15.4	18.8	-3.45	17.1	21.4	-4.29
Tom Gugliotta	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	1	7	16.2	15.4	0.78	18.7	16.2	2.49
Danny Manning	51	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	12	-15	16.3	15.4	0.83	17.1	18.8	-1.70
Gerald Brown	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	8	-7	21.0	15.3	5.68	14.7	18.2	-3.49
Pat Garrity	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	12	-15	15.5	16.0	-0.49	18.7	17.5	1.13
Rex Chapman	52	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	9	-9	15.5	16.5	-0.96	18.2	17.1	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 107, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.92,1	94.4%
CHI 79, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	93.2%
PHX 103, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,0.98,1	92.7%