NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	79		Excitement	5.9 [589]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +11.7%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.1 [383]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -24.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	17	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dennis Rodman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	11	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	25	32%	-0.17	2	-0.07	10	50%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.07	-0.04	17	66%	0.22	5	-0.10	4	25%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	71%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	17	53%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	16	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	24.5	17.6	28.2	2.4	36.2	133.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.3%

DET +9.8%

DET +2.7%

DET +13.1%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.6	89.8	97.8	102.5
season	16.2	15.9		105.8	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	20.4	17.3	14.7	16.6	17.1
DET	15.6	15.5	16.7	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	24	25	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-14	20	17.2	17.1	0.06	16.1	15.2	0.96
Randy Brown	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-8	8	19.8	16.7	3.19	16.2	15.3	0.85
Ron Harper	53	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-5	2	16.3	18.3	-1.97	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Bill Wennington	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	2	-12	20.6	16.7	3.82	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Steve Kerr	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-16	24	17.2	17.0	0.19	16.4	14.4	2.00
Jud Buechler	17	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-4	0	19.2	16.6	2.62	17.6	14.9	2.67
Toni Kukoc	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-11	14	16.1	20.1	-4.02	15.5	15.1	0.40
Scott Burrell	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	6	-20	16.4	18.4	-2.03	14.2	17.5	-3.32
Michael Jordan	81	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	17.1	17.9	-0.80	15.0	20.3	-5.27
Dennis Rodman	76	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	5	-18	17.7	13.2	4.58	15.7	13.6	2.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	86	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-1	10	15.2	23.0	-7.84	17.0	21.7	-4.70
Jerry Stackhouse	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	4	0	15.0	17.1	-2.07	16.5	19.3	-2.79
Bison Dele	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	5	-2	15.8	13.0	2.77	17.3	16.0	1.27
Malik Sealy	35	32	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	5	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.33	17.4	16.9	0.49
Jerome Williams	25	25	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	7	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.26	17.3	17.1	0.22
Don Reid	32	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	-7	22	15.3	15.5	-0.23	19.2	15.8	3.34
Joe Dumars	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	-1	10	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.5	18.2	-1.71
Lindsey Hunter	54	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	16.6	13.7	2.92	17.2	17.0	0.25
Rick Mahorn	10	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	16.1	15.3	0.76	15.9	17.2	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
PHX 103, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,0.98,1	92.5%
SEA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%