NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +22.0%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	4.2 [328]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -51.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	14	77%	0.30	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Paul Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06	0.06	-0.13	-0.01	10	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Al Thornton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	12	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	9	11%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.22,-0.3,-0.41,-0.51	-0.18	-0.34	-0.01	17	29%	-0.36	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	3	117%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.15	-0.01	15	43%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.11
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.10	-0.02	7	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.23
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	14	56%	0.01	3	-0.16	8	100%	0.07
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	5	17%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.34,-0.46	-0.46	-0.12	-0.36	-0.02	19	34%	-0.28	2	-0.18	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.1	15.5	28.6	2.5	37.4	139.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +39.6%

LAC -10.0%

SAC +22.4%

LAC -14.4%

SAC +12.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.1	15.5	94.7	100.0	106.4
season	15.7	15.0		100.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		112.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	13.3	16.0	14.1	14.8
SAC	14.8	15.5	19.1	15.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	77	74	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-12	22	14.3	16.9	-2.62	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Mardy Collins	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-6	10	14.1	14.9	-0.79	16.3	16.0	0.29
Marcus Camby	76	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-7	12	14.9	14.4	0.50	16.1	15.7	0.40
Baron Davis	66	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-3	4	14.1	16.3	-2.27	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Jason Hart	29	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.1	2.27	16.3	15.9	0.38
Fred Jones	32	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	6	-14	16.0	14.1	1.90	16.5	15.8	0.65
Brian Skinner	36	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	10	-22	16.8	13.5	3.32	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Paul Davis	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-5	8	13.7	19.6	-5.87	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Al Thornton	64	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.8	16.6	-0.86

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	76	77	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	15.4	18.9	-3.49	14.4	16.4	-2.07
Jason Thompson	46	50	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	1	0	16.7	15.5	1.20	15.9	13.5	2.47
Bobby Jackson	33	36	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.59	-6	8	-14	16.6	15.7	0.91	14.4	15.0	-0.52
John Salmons	73	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	-1	4	16.3	15.0	1.33	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Kevin Martin	57	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	7	-12	16.2	15.9	0.27	15.4	13.6	1.85
Bobby Brown	14	14	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-4	10	14.8	16.3	-1.50	15.4	14.7	0.69
Beno Udrih	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-4	10	15.8	16.4	-0.53	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Francisco Garcia	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	0	2	15.7	16.4	-0.67	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Mikki Moore	62	63	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	16.4	15.4	0.92	14.3	15.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.34,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.73,1	89.2%
MEM 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,1	89.0%
UTA 75, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.73,1	88.8%