NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	7.7 [308]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +32.0%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	3.3 [637]		LVP	George Hill (SAS): -19.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	57%	0.17	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	56%	0.20	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	26	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	90%	0.07
Marc Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.17,0.32	0.32	0.06	0.26	0.00	22	58%	0.47	4	-0.15	16	81%	0.06
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	7	100%	0.27	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	1	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Chris Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	12	48%	-0.09	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	27.7	15.5	31.8	1.8	41.0	149.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +53.3%

MEM -2.0%

MEM -9.1%

SAS +4.0%

SAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	100.0	105.6	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		106.1	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	16.9	16.5	13.8	15.8
SAS	14.4	20.2	16.2	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	48	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-12	17	15.6	16.0	-0.37	17.5	15.6	1.91
O.J. Mayo	32	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-11	15	16.5	15.4	1.14	14.3	17.9	-3.62
Darrell Arthur	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	5	-17	15.2	16.1	-0.82	16.7	16.5	0.27
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-12	17	15.1	18.6	-3.56	16.6	16.5	0.13
Zach Randolph	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-6	5	16.0	13.7	2.23	16.9	14.0	2.86
Marc Gasol	64	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-6	5	15.8	15.7	0.03	16.1	17.8	-1.68
Jason Williams	25	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	8	-23	17.0	15.3	1.77	17.0	16.4	0.55
Shane Battier	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-4	1	15.3	16.6	-1.24	17.0	15.8	1.20
Tony Allen	32	34	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	10	-27	16.6	15.3	1.34	16.5	16.6	-0.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	33	35	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	16.1	16.8	-0.72	16.8	15.1	1.66
Manu Ginobili	72	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	16.1	18.6	-2.54	15.2	18.0	-2.84
Richard Jefferson	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	4	-1	16.2	17.9	-1.67	16.1	14.8	1.33
DeJuan Blair	39	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-7	21	16.7	16.5	0.25	16.1	15.5	0.62
Tim Duncan	60	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	10	-13	16.5	16.7	-0.18	15.9	15.6	0.25
George Hill	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	8	-9	17.2	15.0	2.24	16.0	15.0	1.09
Tony Parker	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	4	-1	16.7	16.5	0.14	16.6	15.4	1.21
James Anderson	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	4	-1	16.1	16.8	-0.78	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Chris Quinn	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	5	-3	17.1	16.5	0.59	11.7	16.3	-4.59
Matt Bonner	46	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.10	-7	14	-21	17.5	15.6	1.98	15.3	16.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.59,1	91.2%
MIA 99, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.74,1	90.6%
UTA 93, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.92,1	90.0%