NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	75		Excitement	7.8 [158]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +10.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	2.1 [366]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -33.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.11	5	-0.15	4	25%	-0.06
Thurl Bailey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Todd Fuller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	8	28%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
John Stockton	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	0.00	13	55%	-0.04	5	-0.29	3	67%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	8	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	18	50%	0.04	5	-0.16	12	83%	0.08
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	3	-0.14	5	20%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	35.5	17.3	28.5	2.4	46.2	158.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +3.7%

POR +29.1%

POR +17.6%

POR +2.3%

UTA -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.8	84.3	91.0	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		102.6	102.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		96.2	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	15.4	15.8	16.8	15.8
POR	17.3	14.6	17.7	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thurl Bailey	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-9	12	13.7	16.3	-2.63	19.0	15.9	3.06
Adam Keefe	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-14	22	15.5	16.1	-0.64	17.4	15.7	1.69
Greg Ostertag	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	1	-8	16.1	15.7	0.35	17.3	16.3	1.05
John Stockton	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-8	10	15.2	17.2	-2.07	15.5	19.0	-3.50
Jeff Hornacek	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	14.7	16.9	-2.16	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Todd Fuller	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	17.8	15.1	2.74	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Shandon Anderson	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-10	14	16.1	15.5	0.58	17.5	15.2	2.25
Bryon Russell	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	16.4	12.3	4.04	15.6	22.2	-6.61
Howard Eisley	31	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	5	-16	15.8	15.8	0.01	17.3	16.2	1.11
Karl Malone	80	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	5	-16	16.2	12.6	3.64	16.7	15.1	1.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	47	47	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	16.0	17.1	-1.07	16.0	15.6	0.45
Jim Jackson	37	36	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	1	4	16.9	16.2	0.72	15.8	15.8	0.00
Greg Anthony	39	40	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	4	-2	17.1	16.1	0.93	16.4	15.3	1.08
Brian Grant	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	17.0	15.1	1.88	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Isaiah Rider	65	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	1	4	15.9	18.2	-2.36	14.9	18.3	-3.46
Arvydas Sabonis	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	1	4	17.1	15.1	2.00	17.0	12.8	4.22
Walt Williams	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	5	-4	16.0	16.8	-0.81	17.6	15.1	2.47
Damon Stoudamire	50	49	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	2	2	16.1	17.1	-0.93	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Jermaine O'Neal	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	6	-6	17.7	16.3	1.49	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Stacey Augmon	35	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	11	-16	15.9	17.0	-1.11	14.4	16.8	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	92.3%
POR 71, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.99,1	91.5%
WAS 84, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.75,0.73,1	91.4%