NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	84		Excitement	8.0 [216]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +26.4%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	2.9 [569]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -26.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	20	50%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	22	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.06
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.2	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	16	55%	-0.02	7	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	12	32%	-0.07	2	-0.20	4	75%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-0.01	13	65%	0.39	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.02	9	40%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	12	48%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.4	15.3	21.6	1.8	32.2	124.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.5%

WAS -4.4%

WAS -19.7%

IND +14.4%

IND +15.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.6	94.4	94.4	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		102.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.6		99.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	15.8	14.5	18.1	15.5
IND	14.9	16.2	18.2	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-4	7	14.4	15.6	-1.13	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Chris Whitney	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-5	9	16.1	15.1	0.92	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Juwan Howard	79	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-9	17	15.2	17.9	-2.74	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Calbert Cheaney	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.47	7	-8	15	15.5	15.4	0.13	17.2	15.2	2.03
Harvey Grant	23	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	8	-17	16.0	15.3	0.77	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Ben Wallace	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-1	1	15.9	14.3	1.59	17.3	15.3	2.05
Tracy Murray	34	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	6	-13	16.1	15.1	1.09	14.8	17.9	-3.11
Chris Webber	71	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	1	-3	15.1	17.0	-1.92	17.1	15.1	2.02
Rod Strickland	71	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	8	-17	15.1	17.0	-1.92	17.2	14.9	2.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	46	45	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-10	21	16.6	16.8	-0.28	16.3	14.7	1.61
Derrick McKey	37	37	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-3	7	16.3	17.0	-0.64	17.3	14.2	3.17
Mark Jackson	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	1	-1	16.4	17.4	-0.98	15.0	16.6	-1.58
Reggie Miller	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	4	-7	16.8	16.4	0.32	15.0	17.0	-1.97
Rik Smits	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	5	-9	17.0	16.3	0.73	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Fred Hoiberg	20	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-3	7	16.4	16.8	-0.32	17.0	15.0	1.97
Travis Best	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	0	1	17.4	16.4	0.98	16.6	15.0	1.58
Dale Davis	54	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	7	-13	16.7	16.6	0.10	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Jalen Rose	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-3	7	16.4	16.9	-0.47	17.3	14.0	3.32
Chris Mullin	46	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	7	-13	17.0	16.4	0.52	13.4	17.6	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.75,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 75, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.73,1	91.4%
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	91.1%
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	91.0%