NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	114		Excitement	9.6 [87]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +53.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	103		Comeback	2.8 [255]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -28.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.05	0.21	-0.00	4	75%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.14	0.15	0.04	12	78%	0.33	3	-0.08	12	83%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Jarvis Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Bobby Simmons	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.12	-0.00	18	60%	0.06	2	-0.08	7	86%	-0.06
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.18	0.34	-0.01	17	71%	0.61	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.07
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.04	0.01	10	90%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	11	57%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.4,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	17	35%	-0.08	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	10	35%	-0.14	4	-0.15	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.1	18.6	32.4	2.6	35.3	2.5	12.2	157.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.0%

CHA -12.0%

CHA -14.8%

NJN +26.9%

NJN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.5	116.3	104.0	106.4
season	16.0	16.5		106.5	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		104.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	16.4	13.4	14.8	19.4	17.8	16.1
CHA	15.6	17.9	16.4	17.4	11.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-1	13	15.7	17.8	-2.15	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Devin Harris	87	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	16.2	15.3	0.95	15.6	21.4	-5.82
Bobby Simmons	40	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-4	19	14.3	17.4	-3.10	16.2	16.1	0.07
Josh Boone	41	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	17.2	15.3	1.95	16.5	16.0	0.48
Keyon Dooling	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	16.8	15.3	1.48	16.8	15.5	1.28
Jarvis Hayes	68	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	13	-15	17.1	13.9	3.24	16.3	15.8	0.48
Yi Jianlian	44	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	6	-1	15.2	16.9	-1.65	15.6	16.7	-1.02
Brook Lopez	57	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	10	-9	15.3	17.2	-1.95	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Trenton Hassell	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	20.1	15.6	4.48	17.0	16.1	0.93
Ryan Anderson	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	14	-17	15.2	16.2	-0.98	19.5	15.7	3.80

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Singletary	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-14	17	17.2	16.0	1.21	17.7	15.9	1.82
Juwan Howard	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-14	17	19.8	15.5	4.34	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-10	9	17.9	16.0	1.92	13.7	16.4	-2.69
Matt Carroll	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	16.2	16.2	0.02	17.5	15.8	1.64
Raja Bell	55	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	16.2	16.2	-0.02	15.0	17.5	-2.48
D.J. Augustin	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-8	5	16.2	16.2	0.02	17.4	14.9	2.51
Gerald Wallace	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-6	1	16.3	15.0	1.35	16.5	13.6	2.88
Emeka Okafor	83	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	15.8	18.3	-2.55	16.7	13.5	3.12
Boris Diaw	83	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.11	-19	8	-27	15.8	18.1	-2.33	15.4	19.5	-4.06
Raymond Felton	83	82	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.11	-21	10	-31	15.7	18.7	-3.00	15.8	17.7	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	89.5%
HOU 118, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01,0	89.3%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	89.0%