NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	10.4 [44]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +55.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	110		Comeback	40.1 [24]		LVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): -26.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.55	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.36,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.09	0.45	-0.01	18	60%	0.55	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bryce Drew	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	5	92%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.05
Matt Bullard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	92%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Walt Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	12	55%	-0.02	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.02	12	45%	-0.17	4	-0.09	5	20%	-0.07

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	4	83%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	3	100%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.08	-0.03	14	40%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	18	58%	0.01	6	-0.19	7	71%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.11	0.06	15	55%	-0.07	2	-0.11	12	75%	0.07
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.17	-0.02	14	41%	-0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	24.6	16.4	28.4	2.4	41.7	1.7	16.7	160.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.7%

VAN -19.6%

VAN -7.0%

HOU +7.9%

HOU +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	16.7	14.7	15.2	116.8	107.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.6		105.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.8	17.9	14.5	17.6	16.5	16.7
VAN	15.9	12.9	18.3	13.7	10.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-1	10	16.4	17.6	-1.24	14.5	15.2	-0.77
Kelvin Cato	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.12	11	-3	14	16.3	17.4	-1.10	14.7	14.5	0.25
Steve Francis	66	69	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.27	5	3	2	16.4	17.1	-0.70	15.2	13.4	1.82
Matt Bullard	58	58	0.38	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	17.1	16.1	0.95	12.9	16.9	-3.96
Cuttino Mobley	68	69	0.38	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	17.3	15.4	1.91	13.5	17.1	-3.64
Walt Williams	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	4	0	15.0	17.5	-2.45	16.3	13.9	2.48
Bryce Drew	35	33	0.07	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	17.1	16.4	0.70	13.4	15.2	-1.82
Shandon Anderson	38	38	0.04	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	15.3	17.5	-2.23	17.6	12.9	4.70
Kenny Thomas	37	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	18.0	15.9	2.12	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Carlos Rogers	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.00	-4	12	-16	17.9	16.0	1.90	15.5	14.2	1.22

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	25	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	15.6	14.4	1.25	17.2	16.5	0.74
Antoine Carr	16	17	-0.12	-0.37	0.25	-0.00	-4	-4	0	13.2	14.9	-1.67	17.0	16.6	0.38
Obinna Ekezie	37	37	-0.16	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	15.0	14.4	0.58	18.5	15.6	2.93
Felipe Lopez	28	29	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.12	-2	-6	4	16.5	13.9	2.59	17.2	16.5	0.69
Joe Stephens	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	16.1	14.0	2.11	16.9	16.6	0.37
Cherokee Parks	55	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.3	14.0	1.30	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Othella Harrington	86	85	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.5	15.7	-1.30	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Michael Dickerson	74	72	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	13.9	16.5	-2.59	16.5	17.2	-0.69
Mike Bibby	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.2	16.3	-2.18	16.1	18.7	-2.66
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.21	-10	2	-12	14.2	16.3	-2.07	16.4	17.5	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 114, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0	89.3%
HOU 110, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.09,0	89.2%
HOU 119, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	89.2%