NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	9.5 [92]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +83.0%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	8.5 [125]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -22.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.83	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.83	0.02	0.80	-0.01	7	50%	0.83	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	10	60%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.24,0.17,0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.13	-0.01	23	51%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	14	35%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.15	-0.02	25	46%	-0.02	1	-0.11	4	25%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.41	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.01	11	67%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	55%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	72%	0.16	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.09	16	56%	-0.14
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	0.04	-0.25	0.01	20	56%	-0.13	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	30.2	20.8	30.2	3.6	36.5	149.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +56.5%

PHX -15.4%

PHX -5.1%

SAS +19.7%

PHX -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.5	96.8	94.7	106.4
season	16.4	14.1		106.6	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	15.8	14.9	15.3	15.5
PHX	13.9	16.2	13.9	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	52	53	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.81	2	-1	3	16.4	14.4	1.98	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Tim Duncan	81	83	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.57	2	-1	3	15.2	17.3	-2.07	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Tony Parker	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.54	-1	2	-3	15.7	15.0	0.76	13.9	18.0	-4.18
Michael Finley	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.62	-6	7	-13	15.5	15.5	0.00	15.3	14.0	1.30
Manu Ginobili	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	-2	5	14.9	16.3	-1.32	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Bruce Bowen	21	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-6	13	14.9	15.7	-0.79	15.9	14.7	1.26
George Hill	24	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	-1	3	15.0	15.7	-0.76	18.0	13.9	4.18
Kurt Thomas	51	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.41	7	-6	13	16.0	14.9	1.09	16.0	13.9	2.15
Matt Bonner	49	52	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	12	-23	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.2	15.9	-1.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	7	6	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	20.0	14.6	5.44	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Robin Lopez	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	2	-5	17.8	14.4	3.37	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Matt Barnes	37	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	6	-13	16.3	14.1	2.19	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Grant Hill	71	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-8	15	14.9	15.2	-0.34	15.7	15.0	0.72
Leandro Barbosa	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	9	-19	16.5	14.2	2.30	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Jason Richardson	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.6	16.7	-2.11	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Steve Nash	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.49	3	-4	7	14.3	17.7	-3.41	15.6	15.4	0.19
Shaquille O'Neal	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	5	-6	11	14.3	17.8	-3.55	15.7	14.8	0.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	85	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.52	-5	4	-9	14.6	18.4	-3.85	15.5	15.3	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.73,0	91.0%
MIA 97, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.27,0	91.0%
HOU 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.55,0.29,0	90.9%