NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	9.1 [116]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +89.1%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	8.5 [59]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -23.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.89	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.08,0.89	0.09	0.78	-0.02	26	57%	1.13	3	-0.24	4	75%	0.03
Wayne Ellington	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	5	86%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	10	30%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.29,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	4	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	12	64%	0.26	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.14	-0.01	9	56%	0.22	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	14	53%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	17	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	31.1	17.8	27.0	2.5	32.9	137.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +58.2%

CLE +11.0%

TOR -3.8%

TOR -12.2%

TOR -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.4	106.5	107.7	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		102.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	15.5	14.7	14.9	15.0
TOR	16.4	16.5	16.7	15.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	53	53	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-14	29	15.5	14.3	1.10	16.6	15.9	0.72
Shaun Livingston	54	50	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.57	4	-3	7	13.8	16.6	-2.77	15.3	17.6	-2.35
Wayne Ellington	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	-1	3	14.9	15.1	-0.17	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Marreese Speights	54	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-7	15	14.4	15.8	-1.45	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Kyrie Irving	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.44	-9	10	-19	15.3	14.1	1.16	16.7	15.0	1.68
Tristan Thompson	64	66	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	3	-5	14.9	15.1	-0.13	15.8	17.7	-1.85
Tyler Zeller	52	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	15.5	14.3	1.18	17.3	15.1	2.12
Daniel Gibson	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	6	-11	16.4	14.6	1.81	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Alonzo Gee	50	48	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	9	-17	15.0	14.9	0.13	17.4	15.2	2.23

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	40	39	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-2	3	17.6	15.4	2.20	15.7	14.5	1.19
Amir Johnson	71	73	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.34	13	-14	27	16.1	17.3	-1.29	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Quincy Acy	25	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	14.5	17.0	-2.51	13.5	15.5	-2.00
DeMar DeRozan	65	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-10	19	16.8	15.2	1.55	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Jose Calderon	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-8	15	16.2	16.5	-0.27	15.3	14.6	0.65
Kyle Lowry	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	7	-15	16.5	16.2	0.27	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Ed Davis	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.0	3.28	15.9	12.5	3.44
Alan Anderson	60	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.48	-10	9	-19	15.8	17.3	-1.49	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Terrence Ross	37	38	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.53	-12	11	-23	15.2	17.1	-1.89	15.2	14.9	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.72,0	92.7%
SAS 91, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.59,0	91.0%
DET 102, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.83,0	90.9%