NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +28.0%
Washington Wizards	86		Comeback	1.8 [758]		LVP	Mike James (WAS): -11.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.18	-0.03	18	61%	0.36	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	22	51%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	6%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	20	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	15	50%	-0.00	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	31.4	15.8	24.0	1.8	26.0	123.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.3%

WAS -10.2%

DAL +4.2%

DAL +5.2%

DAL +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.5	106.6	95.6	106.4
season	15.6	15.9		108.9	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		111.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	16.6	17.0	17.8	16.9
WAS	17.1	14.7	12.5	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	43	41	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-5	21	16.6	17.2	-0.69	15.0	14.8	0.29
Jason Terry	61	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	4	3	16.9	17.0	-0.07	15.3	14.1	1.26
James Singleton	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	4	3	16.3	17.8	-1.58	15.4	14.2	1.19
Devean George	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	5	1	17.1	16.6	0.51	15.2	14.2	1.01
Dirk Nowitzki	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	6	-1	17.3	16.0	1.25	14.8	15.2	-0.49
Josh Howard	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	3	5	16.8	17.1	-0.36	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Erick Dampier	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	8	-5	17.9	16.4	1.47	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	9	-7	17.2	16.3	0.92	14.2	16.7	-2.54
DeSagana Diop	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	10	-9	15.8	17.2	-1.36	15.1	14.8	0.28

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	44	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-14	17	15.8	14.0	1.73	16.6	17.2	-0.64
Mike James	72	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-11	11	14.5	16.5	-2.01	17.7	13.8	3.96
DeShawn Stevenson	29	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.85	17.4	16.7	0.71
Andray Blatche	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	14.3	15.3	-1.02	17.8	16.3	1.46
Nick Young	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	15.9	14.5	1.38	18.4	16.4	1.97
Caron Butler	82	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-8	5	14.5	18.7	-4.24	17.0	16.0	1.00
Dominic McGuire	45	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	15.7	14.1	1.56	15.7	18.1	-2.45
Antawn Jamison	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	14.5	17.0	-2.50	17.1	16.2	0.84
JaVale McGee	24	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	0	-11	15.4	14.7	0.72	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Javaris Crittenton	19	19	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.8	14.6	1.21	13.8	17.7	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
ORL 97, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0	93.4%
TOR 104, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%