NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	5.6 [715]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +14.8%
New Orleans Hornets	77		Comeback	1.9 [794]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -17.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	3	92%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.03	19	60%	0.18	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.04
Eddie House	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.08	-0.03	11	55%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	11	25%	-0.09	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	-0.07	12	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	86%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	-0.03	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	15	39%	-0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	32.4	15.7	32.0	2.5	28.6	139.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.5%

NOH -3.1%

BOS +18.0%

BOS +20.5%

NOH -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.5	103.5	88.5	106.4
season	15.8	16.6		108.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	19.0	16.3	16.4	17.8	17.3
NOH	15.3	14.4	17.1	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-3	18	17.5	15.8	1.73	16.1	14.6	1.49
Leon Powe	44	43	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	1	10	17.2	17.4	-0.20	16.0	16.0	0.05
Rajon Rondo	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-1	14	17.3	17.2	0.12	16.1	15.0	1.10
Eddie House	36	36	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	2	8	16.9	17.6	-0.70	16.4	15.7	0.66
Glen Davis	26	26	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	9	-6	16.8	17.6	-0.80	16.3	15.9	0.42
Ray Allen	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	9	-6	17.8	17.0	0.75	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Kevin Garnett	52	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	7	-2	17.6	16.9	0.68	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Kendrick Perkins	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	7	-2	17.4	17.2	0.23	16.0	15.9	0.10
Gabe Pruitt	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	13	-14	16.5	17.8	-1.32	16.7	15.6	1.14
Henry Walker	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	16	-20	19.4	17.2	2.20	9.7	16.3	-6.53

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	57	57	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	-10	8	15.5	16.9	-1.46	17.2	17.5	-0.24
Julian Wright	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	12.5	16.1	-3.56	20.3	17.2	3.12
Chris Paul	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.7	16.6	-0.97	17.3	17.4	-0.19
Rasual Butler	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	16.2	15.7	0.47	18.2	16.4	1.78
Ryan Bowen	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-16	20	15.4	16.2	-0.72	16.8	17.5	-0.68
Sean Marks	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-14	16	14.9	16.7	-1.80	17.5	17.2	0.26
Hilton Armstrong	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	0	-12	16.8	14.9	1.87	17.3	17.4	-0.09
David West	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	4	-20	16.2	15.4	0.72	17.5	16.8	0.68
Antonio Daniels	29	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-8	4	16.6	15.7	0.97	17.4	17.3	0.19
James Posey	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	16.0	16.0	0.00	17.5	17.1	0.44
Devin Brown	27	25	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-2	-8	16.8	15.6	1.21	15.1	18.2	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
NJN 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 99, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	93.5%