NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.4 [517]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): +11.6%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.9 [488]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -16.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	5	87%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	77%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	23	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Karl Malone	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	16	34%	-0.09	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.07	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.07	16	39%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	17	55%	-0.01	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	0.09	12	61%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.0	32.0	14.8	24.1	1.7	36.0	139.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.7%

HOU -2.7%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +27.1%

UTA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.5	110.0	109.0	100.9
season	16.0	16.3		105.3	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	16.1	15.5	15.8	16.0
HOU	14.2	17.4	20.5	13.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	16.0	15.7	0.27	16.0	17.7	-1.73
Olden Polynice	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-8	18	15.1	16.9	-1.71	17.7	14.7	2.98
Jacque Vaughn	47	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.40	-1	3	-4	16.1	15.8	0.34	14.7	17.7	-2.94
Donyell Marshall	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	5	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.54	16.6	15.0	1.64
DeShawn Stevenson	21	21	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-7	16	15.8	16.0	-0.27	16.0	16.3	-0.22
Bryon Russell	65	63	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-4	10	16.1	15.6	0.56	16.7	15.1	1.55
John Stockton	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	7	-12	16.1	15.7	0.31	16.6	15.3	1.33
David Benoit	14	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	1	0	16.1	15.9	0.21	16.3	16.2	0.09
Greg Ostertag	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	0	2	17.2	15.6	1.60	16.7	16.1	0.66
Danny Manning	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.41	-17	19	-36	15.9	16.0	-0.10	13.7	17.4	-3.74

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-4	6	16.1	16.3	-0.17	15.8	16.2	-0.34
Matt Bullard	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-10	18	14.8	17.5	-2.75	15.8	16.1	-0.38
Kenny Thomas	46	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	8	-18	17.2	15.2	1.94	16.2	15.7	0.43
Moochie Norris	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	4	-10	17.3	15.6	1.65	16.0	15.9	0.10
Cuttino Mobley	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	16.6	14.8	1.80	16.1	15.3	0.79
Carlos Rogers	35	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	2	-6	16.8	15.8	1.01	16.2	15.9	0.29
Steve Francis	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	15.4	21.6	-6.19	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Shandon Anderson	87	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	0	-2	16.2	16.0	0.22	16.0	15.0	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.9%
SAS 111, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
BOS 89, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%