NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	106		Excitement	8.4 [182]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +37.8%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	1.5 [404]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): -16.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.38	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.38	0.18	0.23	0.03	22	69%	0.50	5	-0.12	18	89%	0.02
Daequan Cook	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	10	74%	0.23	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Michael Beasley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	44%	0.00	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	12	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	16	69%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	14	52%	0.04	4	-0.15	12	92%	0.07
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	0.01	15	51%	0.04	3	-0.20	11	82%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	35.5	15.4	26.0	1.8	39.5	144.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +49.5%

NJN -16.4%

MIA +1.1%

MIA +12.3%

MIA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	15.5	115.2	112.0	106.4
season	16.0	16.0		105.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.8	15.1	17.8	16.7	16.6
NJN	15.9	14.9	13.5	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	57	55	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-3	9	17.0	15.9	1.07	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Dwyane Wade	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-4	11	16.8	15.7	1.07	14.0	17.9	-3.94
Mario Chalmers	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	16.9	15.6	1.24	13.8	17.9	-4.05
Daequan Cook	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-1	5	15.7	17.8	-2.16	14.5	15.0	-0.43
Shawn Marion	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	3	-3	16.9	15.2	1.69	15.0	13.9	1.07
Joel Anthony	54	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	0	3	17.3	15.6	1.70	14.8	14.7	0.07
Michael Beasley	27	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	4	-5	15.3	17.1	-1.81	17.0	13.7	3.37
Jamaal Magloire	32	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	7	-11	15.6	17.1	-1.55	15.7	14.2	1.49
Marcus Banks	19	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	9	-15	16.2	16.7	-0.46	18.3	13.9	4.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	23	22	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.06	6	-9	15	17.3	13.9	3.38	15.6	16.9	-1.24
Ryan Anderson	34	34	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.05	5	-8	13	17.0	13.4	3.65	17.2	16.2	0.95
Jarvis Hayes	41	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	0	-3	15.9	13.8	2.03	15.1	17.7	-2.66
Yi Jianlian	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	1	-5	13.8	15.6	-1.80	16.1	17.0	-0.82
Keyon Dooling	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.4	14.2	1.18	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Vince Carter	77	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.3	0.55	16.8	15.5	1.30
Trenton Hassell	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	0	-3	13.7	16.7	-3.00	17.6	14.6	2.96
Devin Harris	75	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.47	-7	4	-11	14.0	17.9	-3.87	16.5	16.9	-0.45
Brook Lopez	69	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	6	-15	13.9	17.3	-3.38	16.9	15.6	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	92.2%
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	91.5%
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	91.5%