NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	9.2 [113]		MVP	T.J. Ford (IND): +58.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	7.9 [35]		LVP	Josh McRoberts (IND): -21.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.59	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.59	0.07	0.50	-0.01	14	68%	0.68	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.11
Jeff Foster	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.21,0.21	0.02	0.20	0.01	9	47%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Travis Diener	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	6	80%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.20	2	-0.20	3	67%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.08	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.18	0.18	-0.03	0.21	-0.00	15	46%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	12	50%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	5	69%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.12
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.00	-0.18	-0.01	19	57%	0.03	5	-0.20	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	30.4	16.8	25.4	0.8	39.2	139.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.4%

IND +15.3%

PHI -8.9%

PHI -11.5%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.3	15.5	104.4	102.2	106.4
season	14.1	15.5		106.5	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		105.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	15.0	14.4	15.0	15.1
PHI	14.6	18.4	16.9	15.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	60	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.52	6	-5	11	15.4	14.5	0.97	16.7	15.7	1.01
Jarrett Jack	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.56	-1	2	-3	15.7	13.9	1.85	15.4	18.1	-2.72
T.J. Ford	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	1	-1	15.1	15.1	0.07	16.6	15.7	0.86
Brandon Rush	73	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	14.7	17.0	-2.34	16.6	15.4	1.15
Travis Diener	28	28	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	-1	3	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Josh McRoberts	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-8	17	14.9	15.4	-0.43	16.7	15.9	0.77
Stephen Graham	48	49	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	-2	5	14.7	15.6	-0.83	17.0	15.6	1.48
Rasho Nesterovic	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	15.3	15.0	0.30	17.8	15.9	1.91
Roy Hibbert	45	43	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.06	-14	15	-29	14.8	15.5	-0.68	15.0	17.5	-2.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	28	27	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.07	11	-12	23	15.2	16.9	-1.68	15.9	14.8	1.04
Kareem Rush	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	17.3	16.2	1.12	12.2	15.6	-3.31
Royal Ivey	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	5	-11	20.8	15.6	5.23	15.4	15.1	0.28
Reggie Evans	24	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	11	-23	17.2	16.0	1.22	13.4	15.8	-2.32
Thaddeus Young	58	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-2	3	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Samuel Dalembert	68	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.60	11	-12	23	16.0	17.2	-1.22	15.8	13.4	2.32
Marreese Speights	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	7	-15	16.4	16.3	0.07	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Andre Iguodala	79	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.59	5	-6	11	16.2	17.3	-1.12	15.5	13.3	2.17
Andre Miller	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	16.3	16.5	-0.18	15.3	14.1	1.24
Lou Williams	51	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.41	-5	4	-9	15.6	17.3	-1.75	15.1	15.2	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.27,0	92.0%
PHX 112, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.92,0.67,0.26,0	91.6%
MIN 120, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.26,0	91.1%