NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	9.0 [146]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): +26.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	110		Comeback	12.0 [70]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -22.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.01	14	58%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Casey Jacobsen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	20	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	14	66%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Steven Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	17	54%	0.04	3	-0.14	7	100%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.00	11	54%	-0.01	4	-0.10	15	53%	-0.10

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	12	58%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	8	52%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	4	68%	0.03	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.05
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.14	0.01	26	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.11	0.06	19	63%	0.01	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.06
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	9	30%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	32.1	15.8	26.2	2.6	44.2	150.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.8%

PHX +8.8%

SEA -2.3%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	13.7	16.5	15.5	117.9	114.6	104.0
season	13.5	16.5		112.9	109.5
opponent	15.6	16.0		107.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	12.1	14.9	12.8	13.7
SEA	14.0	18.7	16.4	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.53	0	2	-2	13.6	14.0	-0.39	16.0	20.3	-4.25
Joe Johnson	90	92	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	1	0	13.7	13.2	0.48	16.6	14.2	2.34
Quentin Richardson	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	2	-2	13.4	15.2	-1.73	15.7	21.7	-6.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-3	8	14.2	11.7	2.55	16.9	15.0	1.86
Steve Nash	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.59	-6	8	-14	13.7	13.3	0.49	15.4	20.4	-4.98
Casey Jacobsen	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	12.6	14.0	-1.37	18.5	15.8	2.74
Leandro Barbosa	19	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	-6	14	13.3	13.7	-0.49	20.4	15.4	4.98
Bo Outlaw	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	18.7	13.4	5.32	26.3	16.2	10.16
Steven Hunter	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	12.7	13.9	-1.14	15.7	16.7	-1.01

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	74	71	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-14	26	15.4	20.0	-4.61	14.0	12.7	1.32
Jerome James	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-4	6	14.2	17.3	-3.10	14.1	13.5	0.64
Nick Collison	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	7	-16	21.0	16.3	4.71	17.2	13.5	3.76
Danny Fortson	19	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	9	-20	21.7	15.2	6.54	14.2	13.5	0.69
Ray Allen	87	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.50	8	-10	18	16.1	20.1	-4.00	13.5	15.3	-1.84
Rashard Lewis	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.53	8	-10	18	15.4	22.6	-7.20	13.9	11.7	2.18
Ronald Murray	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	9	-20	21.8	15.2	6.61	12.5	13.9	-1.42
Antonio Daniels	46	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	4	-10	17.8	15.3	2.48	13.7	13.6	0.08
Luke Ridnour	53	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.56	1	-3	4	15.0	18.4	-3.41	12.9	14.5	-1.57
Vladimir Radmanovic	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	17.3	14.2	3.10	13.5	14.1	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.92,0.67,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.26,0	91.6%
POR 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.63,0	89.8%
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	89.1%