NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	9.6 [96]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (MIN): +41.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	13.8 [54]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -12.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.41	0.03	0.38	0.00	13	65%	0.50	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.02
Mo Williams	0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32	0.18	0.15	0.02	13	86%	0.39	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	-0.03	0.01	14	87%	0.36	3	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Robbie Hummel	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	5	70%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.02	10	62%	0.11	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	59%	0.19	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.03	0.01	10	90%	0.17	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	18	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.22
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	60%	0.16	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	27.5	16.4	26.5	1.7	32.0	131.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.6%

MIN +50.5%

LAL -15.9%

LAL -14.6%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.1	120.0	121.4	104.2
season	15.0	15.5		101.2	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.2	13.6	13.4	14.5	13.9
LAL	14.0	14.7	14.3	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	51	51	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-13	27	13.9	13.9	0.04	15.8	14.6	1.17
Andrew Wiggins	63	60	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.61	6	-5	11	13.2	15.1	-1.96	15.5	14.7	0.81
Thaddeus Young	78	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-4	9	13.1	16.8	-3.74	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Gorgui Dieng	46	45	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	14.1	13.7	0.35	16.3	14.2	2.09
Mo Williams	64	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	3	-5	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.3	15.0	0.33
Robbie Hummel	36	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	0	1	14.4	13.6	0.85	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Shabazz Muhammad	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	5	-9	15.0	13.6	1.49	15.4	15.1	0.28
Anthony Bennett	40	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Corey Brewer	68	65	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	4	-7	13.6	14.5	-0.84	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Chase Budinger	31	33	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.12	-8	9	-17	15.5	13.2	2.34	15.5	15.1	0.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	31	31	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.13	5	-6	11	14.7	15.4	-0.68	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Ronnie Price	30	30	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-5	9	15.2	15.2	-0.05	14.1	13.8	0.24
Robert Sacre	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-3	5	14.9	15.3	-0.39	14.8	13.7	1.04
Jeremy Lin	62	64	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	14.9	15.7	-0.82	13.9	13.9	0.02
Carlos Boozer	47	50	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	0	-1	14.6	15.7	-1.13	13.5	14.3	-0.72
Nick Young	51	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.5	13.2	1.28
Wesley Johnson	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	1	-3	15.4	14.5	0.97	14.4	12.1	2.35
Kobe Bryant	73	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.62	3	-4	7	15.0	15.8	-0.80	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Wayne Ellington	39	39	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.47	-12	11	-23	15.8	14.8	0.98	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Jordan Hill	64	66	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.63	-7	6	-13	15.4	14.8	0.67	13.5	14.6	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0	91.1%
IND 95, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.26,0	91.1%
SAC 98, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.65,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.28,0	91.0%