NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	5.4 [746]		MVP	Courtney Lee (ORL): +18.7%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.2 [791]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -14.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	8	89%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.02	25	63%	0.22	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	17	35%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	12	82%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.07	14	66%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	14	20%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	14	35%	-0.06	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	28.5	15.7	26.4	1.6	25.5	120.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.4%

GSW -14.5%

ORL +6.7%

ORL +0.8%

ORL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.5	109.0	99.0	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.3	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.8		111.2	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	13.2	15.0	15.8	14.9
GSW	12.3	17.5	13.8	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	43	41	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	14.0	15.5	-1.48	14.9	13.4	1.45
Rashard Lewis	82	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	4	3	15.0	14.2	0.81	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Jameer Nelson	75	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	15.3	13.8	1.51	13.2	16.3	-3.04
Hedo Turkoglu	83	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	15.1	14.0	1.07	14.1	13.9	0.14
Courtney Lee	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	7	-3	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.2	13.9	0.22
Keith Bogans	59	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	3	5	14.9	14.8	0.10	13.4	15.0	-1.65
JJ Redick	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	5	1	13.3	15.3	-2.02	16.5	13.3	3.16
Anthony Johnson	25	27	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	13.8	15.3	-1.51	16.3	13.2	3.04
Marcin Gortat	57	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	10	-9	15.5	14.0	1.48	13.4	14.9	-1.45

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	8.7	14.3	-5.52	19.0	14.7	4.33
Anthony Morrow	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-14	17	15.0	13.7	1.37	15.0	14.8	0.15
Brandan Wright	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-10	9	13.0	14.4	-1.46	15.8	14.6	1.27
Andris Biedrins	68	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-4	-3	13.1	16.1	-2.98	15.2	14.2	1.02
Stephen Jackson	80	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-6	1	14.1	13.9	0.13	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Ronny Turiaf	27	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	17.2	12.9	4.31	13.4	15.5	-2.08
Kelenna Azubuike	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-5	-1	13.9	14.7	-0.81	15.1	14.2	0.85
Marco Belinelli	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	14.5	13.3	1.21	14.6	15.3	-0.70
CJ Watson	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	3	-17	13.7	14.3	-0.58	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	3	-17	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.7	15.7	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 92, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 117, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NOP 126, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%