NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	8.0 [237]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +36.4%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.5 [476]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -38.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.36,0.36	0.20	0.21	0.04	19	66%	0.41	1	-0.05	12	92%	0.11
Sasha Pavlovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	21	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Delonte West	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.38	-0.14	-0.23	0.01	19	29%	-0.33	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.20	0.02	16	67%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.02	6	76%	0.26	1	-0.11	13	85%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.14	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.09	-0.04	17	44%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	67%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	32.9	15.7	29.7	1.8	42.0	151.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +70.9%

CLE -5.5%

ATL +10.7%

CLE -26.3%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	18.4	17.0	15.5	113.6	118.3	106.4
season	16.9	15.8		110.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		106.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.1	16.9	20.0	18.4	18.4
ATL	16.2	18.1	15.2	18.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	33	33	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.05	11	-16	27	18.2	18.4	-0.20	17.5	16.7	0.78
JJ Hickson	5	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-6	7	16.4	18.5	-2.09	17.3	17.0	0.37
Darnell Jackson	8	7	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-8	11	12.0	19.1	-7.05	25.9	16.2	9.70
Sasha Pavlovic	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-7	9	18.0	18.8	-0.82	17.6	16.4	1.24
Mo Williams	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	18.8	16.3	2.48	16.9	17.5	-0.62
LeBron James	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-6	7	18.3	19.0	-0.68	17.2	13.7	3.40
Anderson Varejao	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	2	-9	19.4	14.6	4.89	16.5	18.6	-2.13
Ben Wallace	43	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	9	-23	18.9	17.7	1.17	15.5	18.9	-3.49
Delonte West	69	69	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.32	-19	14	-33	17.8	21.6	-3.79	16.9	17.6	-0.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	69	69	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-12	29	16.6	19.1	-2.48	18.7	16.2	2.57
Josh Smith	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.8	17.4	-0.59	18.6	17.8	0.80
Marvin Williams	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	16.7	18.1	-1.34	18.5	17.7	0.76
Joe Johnson	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	0	5	17.1	16.4	0.67	18.4	18.2	0.22
Zaza Pachulia	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	18.6	15.6	2.98	16.9	19.6	-2.70
Al Horford	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	3	-1	16.3	18.6	-2.31	19.2	16.3	2.88
Ronald Murray	28	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	11	-17	17.9	16.5	1.43	19.0	18.1	0.91
Maurice Evans	25	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.04	-12	17	-29	17.0	17.0	0.02	15.7	19.5	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.98,0.9,1	91.6%
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	91.6%
CHI 97, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.95,1	91.1%