NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	7.1 [395]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +48.8%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.6 [587]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -11.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.49	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.49	0.11	0.37	-0.01	10	73%	0.51	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Maurice Evans	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.14	0.08	0.07	-0.00	14	58%	0.32	1	-0.17	5	60%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Acie Law	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.08	-0.03	18	46%	0.01	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.10	0.01	15	74%	0.33	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.13	0.01	8	73%	0.17	1	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	22	41%	0.05	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	26.4	15.7	25.1	2.5	38.2	136.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +69.7%

ATL +2.2%

WAS -23.2%

WAS -0.2%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	18.1	15.2	15.5	118.6	112.6	106.4
season	15.8	15.9		106.7	103.5
opponent	15.2	16.1		111.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.3	19.1	19.9	17.3	18.1
WAS	14.3	16.9	14.4	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-11	26	17.4	20.3	-2.96	16.0	12.9	3.06
Maurice Evans	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	17.0	22.1	-5.03	15.3	15.1	0.14
Joe Johnson	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	17.9	19.5	-1.56	15.2	15.0	0.25
Mike Bibby	69	70	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-2	8	18.4	16.9	1.42	15.8	12.7	3.14
Marvin Williams	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	-2	8	18.6	16.6	2.02	15.9	13.6	2.27
Acie Law	22	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	5	-6	18.8	17.8	0.93	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Mario West	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	4	-4	28.0	18.0	10.04	0.0	15.4	-15.41
Ronald Murray	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	13	-22	18.9	17.5	1.39	14.1	16.0	-1.96
Solomon Jones	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	12	-20	18.8	17.7	1.04	13.6	16.0	-2.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	30	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.16	9	-13	22	15.8	14.9	0.87	19.7	17.2	2.54
Andray Blatche	35	34	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.22	10	-14	24	13.8	16.2	-2.39	19.1	17.4	1.71
Etan Thomas	5	4	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	14.4	15.3	-0.88	16.2	18.2	-1.92
Dominic McGuire	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	17.0	15.1	1.88	25.7	17.5	8.15
Antonio Daniels	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.57	14	-18	32	14.8	16.8	-2.04	18.8	15.7	3.08
Darius Songaila	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.37	6	-10	16	15.9	14.7	1.18	18.6	17.6	0.96
JaVale McGee	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	10	-24	16.2	14.8	1.42	17.4	18.4	-1.02
Dee Brown	13	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.19	-16	12	-28	17.2	14.9	2.26	16.6	18.3	-1.73
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.28	-10	6	-16	15.4	14.2	1.17	18.1	18.1	0.01
Caron Butler	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	5	-14	15.0	16.9	-1.92	17.1	24.4	-7.36
DeShawn Stevenson	64	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.23	-15	11	-26	15.1	15.7	-0.63	16.9	21.2	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.4,0.31,0.1,0.11,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.42,0	93.6%
CLE 106, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.42,0	92.4%
CHI 110, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.09,0.26,0	92.0%