NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	7.6 [310]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +58.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.4 [525]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -15.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.58	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.32,0.52,0.45,0.58	0.09	0.48	-0.01	21	63%	0.83	5	-0.24	10	100%	0.12
Tristan Thompson	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29	0.10	0.18	-0.01	10	79%	0.32	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.07
CJ Miles	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	14	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Alonzo Gee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	7	44%	-0.11	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.24	-0.01	11	59%	0.35	0	0.00	12	100%	0.12
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	10	55%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.02	11	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	20	61%	0.11	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.04
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	31.5	13.8	26.0	1.8	38.1	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.1%

CLE +11.6%

CHA -2.8%

CHA -11.6%

CLE +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	15.4	106.0	103.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.6		102.5	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		109.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	13.8	14.0	17.4	14.6
CHA	15.0	13.9	14.2	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	82	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-9	20	13.6	19.0	-5.43	14.9	10.5	4.41
Tristan Thompson	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-9	20	14.4	15.2	-0.87	14.9	11.6	3.29
Alonzo Gee	71	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	-1	4	14.4	15.0	-0.63	13.8	14.9	-1.01
Kyrie Irving	78	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	14.7	14.0	0.71	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Shaun Livingston	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	4	-6	15.4	13.5	1.90	13.6	14.7	-1.15
Tyler Zeller	62	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	4	-6	14.5	14.7	-0.26	14.2	13.9	0.34
Dion Waiters	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	6	-10	15.0	14.3	0.70	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Luke Walton	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	10	-18	15.6	13.9	1.66	12.9	14.8	-1.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	61	59	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.10	12	-14	26	12.9	15.9	-3.05	14.6	14.4	0.23
DeSagana Diop	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	16.0	14.1	1.93	34.5	14.1	20.36
Jeff Adrien	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	16.3	14.0	2.36	13.6	14.6	-1.05
Jeff Taylor	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.50	13	-15	28	14.5	13.6	0.88	15.8	13.1	2.72
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-3	4	12.7	15.3	-2.55	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Hakim Warrick	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	10	-22	17.6	13.0	4.61	12.6	15.2	-2.53
Ben Gordon	58	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-9	16	13.7	14.7	-0.98	15.1	13.8	1.25
Bismack Biyombo	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	10	-22	16.7	13.0	3.71	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Kemba Walker	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	7	-16	15.0	13.3	1.73	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Ramon Sessions	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-3	4	13.2	16.8	-3.63	14.9	13.6	1.21
Gerald Henderson	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	14.4	13.4	1.01	15.0	13.8	1.19
Tyrus Thomas	29	29	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	5	-12	12.8	14.7	-1.89	13.3	15.1	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.09,0.26,0	92.8%
ATL 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.4,0.31,0.1,0.11,0.42,0	92.4%
IND 99, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0	92.2%