inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 110 Excitement7.3 [366] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +32.4%
Denver Nuggets 107 Comeback1.1 [549] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -17.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.320,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.320.170.14-0.011868%0.372-0.04862%-0.02
Darius Songaila0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.150.090.060.001368%0.202-0.055100%0.03
Luol Deng0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.070.03-0.01-0.051453%0.091-0.02250%-0.02
James Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01442%-0.0000.00425%-0.03
Chris Duhon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0430%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01557%0.024-0.08450%-0.03
Othella Harrington-0.100,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.011127%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12-0.01-0.13-0.031150%0.092-0.21875%0.04
Kirk Hinrich-0.180,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.011137%-0.103-0.082100%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.060.060.010.050.002353%0.123-0.061385%0.06
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.060.060.10-0.030.015117%0.133-0.072100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00672%0.072-0.03683%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.01731%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00650%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.03-0.050.021071%0.116-0.151191%0.02
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.031141%-0.062-0.027100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.53.330.818.037.23.544.5164.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +34.3%
DEN -12.6%
CHI +43.9%
DEN -16.0%
CHI +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDENNBACHIDENNBA
this game14.712.615.6103.8101.9104.4
season14.414.4102.6103.5
opponent15.916.1103.5102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.217.612.515.114.7
DEN14.113.012.311.012.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon95940.51-0.010.510.365-2714.517.2-2.7312.99.92.95
Luol Deng59570.460.040.420.4021113.915.8-1.9312.213.0-0.86
Kirk Hinrich88870.400.100.300.43-14-515.212.42.7612.512.8-0.34
Darius Songaila44480.360.140.210.215-2715.414.31.1113.112.11.09
Tyson Chandler82790.320.180.13-0.0111-81914.416.0-1.6313.310.32.93
Andres Nocioni70690.220.28-0.050.46-811-1915.213.91.2412.113.4-1.27
Othella Harrington31300.170.33-0.17-0.016-3914.914.70.1913.112.30.72
Chris Duhon29290.090.41-0.310.0421114.214.9-0.6811.712.9-1.14
Malik Allen2627-0.000.50-0.510.17-69-1515.914.41.5210.813.2-2.39
James Thomas65-0.020.52-0.540.01-14-512.814.8-2.0212.412.6-0.16

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera55550.52-1.021.530.1911-142512.213.0-0.8215.713.71.99
Linas Kleiza32320.17-0.670.83-0.2213-162912.512.6-0.0816.713.92.75
Earl Watson5354-0.17-0.330.16-0.4610-132311.114.1-2.9815.214.20.99
Greg Buckner4241-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-1310-2314.011.62.3714.115.1-1.00
Francisco Elson3232-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-1714-3113.911.91.9913.815.1-1.28
Carmelo Anthony8586-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-1-112.512.8-0.3714.715.0-0.39
Andre Miller8081-0.630.13-0.75-0.22-1411-2513.110.62.5114.515.6-1.13
Earl Boykins6264-0.660.16-0.82-0.9510-132311.713.8-2.1015.014.30.75
Marcus Camby8485-0.670.17-0.84-0.29-1310-2312.712.10.5113.818.4-4.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.09,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 92, DET 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.16,093.7%
HOU 116, GSW 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.01,0,093.0%
CLE 106, CHA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.42,092.8%