NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	5.8 [649]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): +14.4%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.2 [850]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -12.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.01	16	69%	0.18	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.06	-0.06	14	43%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Oscar Torres	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	19	55%	0.03	9	-0.16	6	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	18	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	24.7	16.6	30.1	2.4	32.9	131.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.5%

GSW -4.0%

HOU +21.2%

GSW -16.6%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.6	120.8	108.3	102.3
season	16.8	14.7		100.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	16.0	11.8	21.3	15.6
GSW	14.3	15.3	14.9	13.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	86	86	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-4	20	15.2	18.7	-3.49	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Kelvin Cato	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-5	22	14.9	16.9	-1.98	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Kenny Thomas	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	15.4	16.6	-1.19	14.4	14.3	0.14
Cuttino Mobley	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	15.2	16.5	-1.30	14.5	14.2	0.32
Moochie Norris	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	5	2	17.6	13.0	4.58	14.0	15.0	-1.06
Walt Williams	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	2	8	13.3	17.2	-3.94	15.2	13.9	1.37
Oscar Torres	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	7	-2	14.9	15.7	-0.76	15.8	14.1	1.66
Jason Collier	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	16.9	14.9	1.98	15.0	14.1	0.92
Dan Langhi	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	15	-18	17.2	15.4	1.82	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Terence Morris	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	20	-28	17.1	14.8	2.33	13.7	14.8	-1.01

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	15.5	14.2	1.37	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Chris Mills	33	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-12	12	14.1	14.6	-0.47	17.6	14.5	3.17
Larry Hughes	30	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-6	0	14.6	14.4	0.20	18.0	14.6	3.38
Erick Dampier	20	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.2	14.0	2.24	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Danny Fortson	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.6	14.3	0.21	13.2	17.2	-4.07
Adonal Foyle	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-10	8	13.9	15.9	-2.00	16.3	13.6	2.61
Gilbert Arenas	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-1	-10	14.9	13.5	1.39	14.0	18.6	-4.58
Antawn Jamison	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-7	2	14.4	14.6	-0.20	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Bob Sura	51	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	14.1	14.8	-0.74	17.4	13.7	3.71
Jason Richardson	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	1	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.65	15.3	16.7	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 125, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.01,0	94.3%
DEN 82, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0	94.2%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	93.9%