inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 101 Excitement7.7 [301] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +30.3%
Indiana Pacers 99 Comeback1.5 [671] LVPStephen Jackson (IND): -24.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.300,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.30.040.25-0.012553%0.402-0.09887%0.02
Ruben Patterson0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.040.01764%0.112-0.04875%0.03
Francisco Elson0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.00956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00458%0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.011655%0.116-0.17650%-0.05
Earl Boykins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.031236%-0.012-0.051100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.17,0.170.17-0.000.16-0.011060%0.233-0.0600%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00872%0.1000.00250%-0.03
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.01462%0.0800.00540%-0.03
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00865%0.092-0.06475%-0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0,-0.05,0.1,0.02,-0.05-0.050.07-0.100.021756%-0.001-0.04580%0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.001227%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00525%-0.072-0.05250%-0.02
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25-0.25-0.07-0.150.022138%-0.231-0.021369%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.426.215.527.42.437.4135.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +68.8%
IND -2.5%
IND -4.3%
IND -20.9%
DEN +9.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game15.015.315.6107.4103.1104.4
season14.416.0103.5102.3
opponent15.515.9100.8103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.515.513.118.215.0
IND17.213.915.115.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ruben Patterson59580.77-0.271.040.3016-143014.016.6-2.6016.014.41.61
Marcus Camby70720.53-0.030.570.337-51214.117.4-3.2316.113.12.96
Andre Miller73750.52-0.020.540.385-3814.815.5-0.6515.813.81.96
Francisco Elson38390.400.100.30-0.0716-143012.916.4-3.5216.014.91.15
Carmelo Anthony74750.390.110.270.44-24-614.815.6-0.8715.714.21.48
Greg Buckner50520.150.35-0.210.44-1012-2216.713.03.7914.815.9-1.09
Reggie Evans4244-0.030.53-0.570.20-810-1815.714.31.3914.416.1-1.68
Earl Boykins4547-0.100.60-0.700.14-810-1815.914.11.7213.716.9-3.26
Eduardo Najera1918-0.130.63-0.750.05-68-1418.014.23.8013.715.7-2.00

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Harrison5148-0.05-0.450.39-0.298-101814.316.5-2.2016.413.52.92
Austin Croshere1010-0.14-0.360.210.12-97-1617.315.12.1813.715.1-1.42
Fred Jones5149-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-20-215.015.7-0.7314.715.3-0.57
Anthony Johnson4847-0.23-0.270.05-0.313-5815.515.20.2714.915.1-0.19
Jamaal Tinsley4948-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.12-53-814.915.8-0.9114.815.1-0.28
Jeff Foster6263-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-64-1016.313.62.6313.717.6-3.90
Danny Granger6866-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.483-5815.215.7-0.4715.513.71.84
Peja Stojakovic6866-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.36-20-215.115.9-0.7215.613.42.19
Stephen Jackson7373-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.430-2215.814.01.8214.616.4-1.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 102, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.4,0.31,0.1,0.11,0.42,093.6%
SAS 104, PHX 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.57,093.2%
CLE 106, CHA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.42,092.0%