NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	129		Excitement	10.7 [44]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +85.2%
Toronto Raptors	127		Comeback	908.1 [1]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (TOR): -6.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.85	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.85	0.22	0.70	0.07	28	67%	0.87	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.43	0.14	0.31	0.01	18	62%	0.47	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,0.02,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	13	50%	0.19	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.25,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.15	0.01	27	61%	0.55	2	-0.20	15	87%	0.06
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.32	0.32	0.21	0.12	0.01	15	76%	0.34	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.28	0.28	-0.04	0.30	-0.02	9	40%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.15	-0.16	0.03	11	93%	0.24	5	-0.29	6	100%	0.06
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	-0.02	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	2.6	26.4	19.4	25.6	2.5	43.8	1.7	21.3	172.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +56.2%

TOR -23.2%

TOR -19.7%

NJN +37.9%

TOR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.5	121.7	117.6	106.4
season	16.0	15.1		106.5	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	15.0	16.3	16.2	12.6	9.3	14.3
TOR	14.4	16.5	16.5	15.1	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	82	84	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.97	-7	9	-16	13.9	15.5	-1.61	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Brook Lopez	58	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-16	34	14.6	14.0	0.61	16.8	13.7	3.15
Jarvis Hayes	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	14.0	14.9	-0.96	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Bobby Simmons	62	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.54	0	2	-2	13.3	15.7	-2.38	15.2	15.7	-0.43
Vince Carter	87	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Keyon Dooling	48	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-12	26	14.0	14.5	-0.46	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Yi Jianlian	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	14.8	14.1	0.75	16.9	14.8	2.13
Ryan Anderson	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	2	-2	16.2	13.1	3.06	15.6	15.3	0.23
Eduardo Najera	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	8	-14	13.9	14.3	-0.43	17.8	15.2	2.63
Trenton Hassell	1	0	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.32	-3	5	-8	1.0	14.4	-13.42	0.0	15.4	-15.42
Sean Williams	43	43	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.06	-16	18	-34	15.3	13.6	1.62	14.9	15.8	-0.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	41	40	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.15	10	-12	22	14.5	16.0	-1.46	16.3	13.1	3.18
Jermaine O'Neal	52	50	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.16	-3	1	-4	17.2	13.7	3.54	15.2	13.5	1.76
Will Solomon	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	4	-10	17.7	15.0	2.67	16.3	13.9	2.38
Anthony Parker	89	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-12	22	14.8	18.4	-3.65	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Chris Bosh	92	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-6	10	15.0	17.7	-2.67	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Jose Calderon	92	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-6	10	15.0	17.7	-2.67	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Andrea Bargnani	100	98	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-2	2	15.5	14.6	0.86	13.9	18.6	-4.69
Jason Kapono	39	40	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	12	-26	15.4	15.4	0.03	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Jamario Moon	19	19	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.34	-15	13	-28	16.9	15.1	1.79	14.9	14.2	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 135, GSW 134	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0	90.4%
NOH 109, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	89.5%
SAS 113, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	89.3%