NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	109		Excitement	9.9 [63]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): +22.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	20.4 [24]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -51.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.01	14	66%	0.23	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.14
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	15	54%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.08
Marcus Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.12	0.01	17	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Morris Peterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
David West	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.09	-0.17	0.05	13	71%	0.04	3	-0.17	5	80%	-0.03
Darren Collison	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.3,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	-0.00	11	53%	-0.08	5	-0.19	10	90%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.12	-0.03	19	61%	0.31	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	16	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	5	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.13	-0.03	16	29%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	14	29%	-0.19	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.08
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.51	-0.51	-0.06	-0.45	0.01	19	45%	-0.23	3	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.4	16.4	24.5	2.6	33.1	2.4	19.4	153.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +41.5%

NOH +24.6%

MEM -31.2%

NOH +9.9%

NOH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	17.6	15.3	112.4	105.2	106.0
season	15.5	15.4		106.0	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	17.4	16.9	13.9	14.3	10.7	15.2
MEM	16.0	14.4	19.5	19.3	20.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	69	69	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-8	23	15.2	15.1	0.06	18.4	15.7	2.70
Marcus Thornton	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	5	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.46	16.8	19.7	-2.92
Darren Collison	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	3	1	14.7	19.4	-4.70	18.0	14.1	3.96
Peja Stojakovic	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	3	1	14.7	18.3	-3.61	18.2	14.1	4.04
David West	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	9	-11	14.6	16.8	-2.16	17.4	18.2	-0.81
Morris Peterson	35	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.31	13	-6	19	16.5	14.4	2.12	18.0	17.3	0.69
Aaron Gray	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	15.3	15.2	0.17	14.9	18.0	-3.06
Julian Wright	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	9	-11	18.1	14.6	3.49	14.5	18.2	-3.63
Darius Songaila	42	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	7	-7	16.1	14.5	1.60	17.4	17.7	-0.28

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	65	64	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.33	8	-15	23	16.9	19.1	-2.19	15.3	15.0	0.28
Hasheem Thabeet	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-3	-1	14.6	18.1	-3.55	17.2	14.8	2.47
Sam Young	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	17.8	17.5	0.34	15.5	15.0	0.46
DeMarre Carroll	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	6	-19	20.2	16.9	3.37	15.5	15.1	0.37
O.J. Mayo	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	17.3	18.8	-1.52	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Zach Randolph	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	17.4	18.9	-1.50	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Marc Gasol	83	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	17.9	15.8	2.12	14.9	16.8	-1.87
Rudy Gay	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-5	3	17.7	17.1	0.60	14.6	18.9	-4.29
Jamaal Tinsley	26	26	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.53	-11	4	-15	19.1	17.1	2.02	16.8	14.6	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.66,0.69,0.9,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	90.7%
HOU 135, GSW 134	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0	89.9%
NJN 129, TOR 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.41,0	89.5%