inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 135 Excitement11.8 [32] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +91.8%
Golden State Warriors 134 Comeback84.5 [12] LVPKevin Durant (GSW): -8.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.920,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.16,0.16,0.920.100.830.013260%1.127-0.20989%0.09
Clint Capela0.250,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.170.110.021967%0.271-0.025100%0.04
Austin Rivers0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,0.16,0.160.050.120.001850%0.1600.0000%0.00
Danuel House Jr.0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.150.020.03589%0.151-0.019100%0.05
Gerald Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.020.001359%0.0700.001100%0.01
Brandon Knight0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00550%0.0400.0000%0.00
James Ennis III-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00237%-0.0100.00425%-0.04
Gary Clark-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.01437%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.17,0.360.360.110.260.012761%0.475-0.10367%-0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.30.300.140.15-0.022065%0.331-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.00283%0.1100.002100%0.02
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.10-0.030.11-0.03760%0.174-0.071100%0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00460%0.0600.002100%0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00462%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.040.01960%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Jordan Bell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.04,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.02,0.07,-0.08-0.080.03-0.100.012351%-0.042-0.045100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.12.826.116.425.82.830.30.818.0150.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +38.4%
HOU +9.9%
HOU +5.0%
HOU +0.5%
GSW -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game15.613.914.3126.2122.9109.3
season14.813.4114.0114.5
opponent15.014.4108.9109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU17.414.115.515.017.215.6
GSW12.111.617.215.313.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden88900.62-0.120.730.475-4915.516.0-0.4814.212.12.18
Gerald Green62620.500.000.500.5001-115.615.60.0113.414.4-0.97
Austin Rivers91910.490.010.470.4901-115.615.40.2013.415.9-2.50
Danuel House Jr.74760.250.250.000.105-4914.817.5-2.7613.414.8-1.34
Gary Clark10110.090.41-0.320.032-1314.015.8-1.7716.713.53.20
James Ennis III1315-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-12-315.715.60.1017.613.34.34
PJ Tucker6163-0.050.55-0.610.00-23-516.015.00.9914.413.01.40
Clint Capela9494-0.170.67-0.84-0.232-1315.814.51.2213.714.8-1.10
Brandon Knight2425-0.180.68-0.860.05-89-1716.215.40.7212.014.4-2.35

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry84840.22-0.720.940.133-4713.215.9-2.6815.715.20.55
Alfonzo McKinnie12130.03-0.530.55-0.001-2312.614.0-1.4313.315.9-2.62
Jordan Bell14130.02-0.520.540.11-32-515.713.62.1417.215.41.85
Quinn Cook13120.01-0.510.51-0.052-3517.013.43.5715.115.7-0.59
Jonas Jerebko2523-0.14-0.360.220.01-54-912.914.1-1.2614.815.8-1.00
Shaun Livingston3636-0.14-0.360.210.09-87-1513.514.0-0.4914.616.1-1.46
Andre Iguodala6866-0.24-0.260.02-0.5410-112113.813.9-0.0415.915.10.87
Kevin Durant8482-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.494-5914.312.51.7816.014.41.63
Klay Thompson8785-0.540.04-0.59-0.46-32-514.411.72.6615.615.8-0.21
Kevon Looney4645-0.590.09-0.67-0.590-1113.414.2-0.7215.915.40.49
Draymond Green7676-0.750.25-1.00-0.57-65-1113.514.6-1.0815.615.7-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 129, TOR 1270.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.41,090.4%
SAS 113, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,090.3%
NOH 109, MEM 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.31,0.16,089.9%