inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 80 Excitement3.3 [1137] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +8.0%
Boston Celtics 98 Comeback2.1 [894] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -13.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.01965%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Kwame Brown0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01275%0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Jason Maxiell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.00950%0.0000.0020%-0.03
Walter Herrmann0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Acker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Bynum-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04537%-0.0010.00667%-0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01952%0.033-0.08580%-0.01
Allen Iverson-0.050,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.011352%0.064-0.115100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.02922%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.0220%-0.045-0.1000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.011062%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00781%0.102-0.03250%-0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.011169%0.112-0.05475%-0.01
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.01760%0.072-0.03683%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.010.06773%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00941%0.021-0.014100%0.06
Kendrick Perkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Gabe Pruitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00447%-0.0110.00743%-0.04
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.63.634.619.829.02.828.2144.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.2%
BOS +4.5%
DET -1.7%
BOS +23.9%
DET -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game16.116.715.590.9111.4106.4
season16.915.8104.9108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.215.817.613.816.1
BOS16.314.217.518.916.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter Herrmann14140.00-0.500.50-0.217-253212.316.8-4.5018.616.32.36
Amir Johnson14150.00-0.500.50-0.217-253212.316.8-4.5018.816.22.58
Alex Acker660.00-0.500.50-0.062-202210.816.5-5.6218.716.52.15
Will Bynum2222-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-202213.816.8-3.0018.915.93.00
Kwame Brown4240-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-202216.515.70.7314.918.1-3.22
Richard Hamilton5959-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-10217.014.22.7216.516.9-0.35
Arron Afflalo3134-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-10214.516.9-2.5017.416.21.18
Allen Iverson6462-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-9016.614.62.0416.716.60.12
Tayshaun Prince6362-0.41-0.09-0.330.09-17-1-1617.013.83.1715.619.2-3.54
Rasheed Wallace4948-0.43-0.07-0.350.40-2810-3817.114.72.3815.817.6-1.82
Jason Maxiell5252-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-180-1815.916.3-0.4516.916.30.60
Rodney Stuckey2426-0.44-0.06-0.380.20-224-2617.515.51.9117.516.31.14

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen51500.430.070.370.021441017.215.91.2315.317.1-1.87
Leon Powe31290.330.170.16-0.2319-12018.615.63.0216.016.1-0.10
Kevin Garnett48500.290.210.07-0.181621414.419.4-5.0716.715.31.42
Eddie House30270.270.230.03-0.231711615.617.2-1.6115.616.3-0.69
Kendrick Perkins47500.260.240.02-0.06117415.418.1-2.6917.214.62.57
Paul Pierce50510.250.250.01-0.10126616.217.3-1.0617.014.82.22
Rajon Rondo46470.220.28-0.06-0.07108216.616.7-0.1117.514.53.00
Ray Allen46460.180.32-0.140.00612-615.318.1-2.7916.815.31.54
Glen Davis35350.140.36-0.220.17-119-2019.814.65.1715.416.5-1.11
Brian Scalabrine22210.120.38-0.250.21-321-2417.716.31.3614.016.7-2.78
Gabe Pruitt22220.010.49-0.480.07-220-2218.915.93.0013.816.8-3.00
Patrick O'Bryant12120.000.50-0.500.26-927-3618.316.41.9411.016.9-5.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 107, MIA 1240.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MEM 86, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
LAC 93, PHX 1240.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%