inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Excitement3.5 [1076] MVPKenyon Martin (DEN): +11.4%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback2.2 [1217] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -21.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.010.021357%0.0400.002100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001150%0.0300.002100%0.01
Rudy Gay0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00845%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Casey Jacobsen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02550%0.002-0.0320%-0.00
Darko Milicic-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Javaris Crittenton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.04952%-0.001-0.033100%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.01-0.010.081148%-0.051-0.02333%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.090,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.010.021241%-0.023-0.075100%0.01
Mike Conley-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.22-0.02-0.021315%-0.144-0.0700%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.010.041174%0.131-0.01956%-0.02
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.04480%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.061361%0.0310.00580%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04490%0.0310.00250%-0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021450%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.020100%0.0020.002100%0.00
Taurean Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.03750%0.033-0.06250%-0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.010.03743%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.031227%-0.081-0.02667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.727.416.428.42.628.0133.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.0%
MEM -3.1%
DEN +2.5%
DEN +10.3%
DEN +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game15.912.815.486.0108.0105.7
season14.913.3103.3108.2
opponent15.214.9105.4109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.716.415.216.615.9
DEN12.012.412.514.712.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic19190.05-0.550.61-0.012-242615.616.0-0.4613.212.80.38
Casey Jacobsen2323-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-263016.615.80.8614.712.32.40
Kwame Brown3130-0.02-0.480.460.13-5-171217.015.51.5713.012.80.21
Javaris Crittenton2928-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-252816.615.70.8515.112.03.13
Brian Cardinal3536-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-191615.916.0-0.1412.712.9-0.24
Rudy Gay4240-0.22-0.280.060.07-10-12216.515.60.8712.013.4-1.33
Mike Conley5355-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-3-191615.516.4-0.9013.512.11.42
Jason Collins4041-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-12215.316.4-1.0813.712.31.41
Kyle Lowry5150-0.33-0.17-0.160.31-220-2216.415.50.9411.614.1-2.58
Hakim Warrick6564-0.35-0.15-0.210.20-19-3-1616.015.90.1412.912.70.24
Juan Carlos Navarro4748-0.40-0.10-0.310.24-220-2215.216.6-1.3911.813.8-1.96
Mike Miller6566-0.47-0.03-0.440.27-253-2815.616.5-0.9112.214.0-1.79

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Iverson66670.440.060.38-0.3226-43012.513.5-1.0315.816.3-0.48
Carmelo Anthony60630.370.130.24-0.222021812.213.8-1.5816.714.71.98
Linas Kleiza56540.360.140.23-0.05148612.413.4-0.9216.015.90.11
Marcus Camby60600.290.210.08-0.241841412.812.80.0015.516.6-1.08
Kenyon Martin57580.280.220.06-0.16157812.713.0-0.3415.716.3-0.66
Eduardo Najera41390.270.230.05-0.17157811.313.9-2.6816.715.51.26
Chucky Atkins43420.230.27-0.040.11418-1413.112.70.4316.515.50.99
Anthony Carter47480.190.31-0.13-0.02715-813.612.21.4915.916.0-0.18
J.R. Smith31310.070.43-0.36-0.14715-811.813.3-1.5116.015.90.12
Yakhouba Diawara18170.000.50-0.500.15-527-3215.712.23.4314.916.2-1.22
Steven Hunter13130.000.50-0.500.23-830-3817.012.24.7714.516.2-1.62
Taurean Green880.000.50-0.500.09-325-2817.512.45.0514.416.1-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 80, BOS 980.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
PHX 100, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NYK 78, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%