inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 100 Excitement3.4 [1100] MVPRasho Nesterovic (MIN): +14.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves 111 Comeback1.9 [706] LVPJason Kidd (PHX): -9.4%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.01675%0.0500.004100%0.02
Randy Livingston0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04571%0.0100.004100%0.00
Luc Longley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Todd Day0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01654%-0.001-0.031100%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011050%-0.011-0.02475%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.041225%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.000.051250%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.030.041468%0.065-0.113100%0.02
Rex Chapman-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00440%-0.022-0.052100%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.15-0.00-0.061439%-0.016-0.0900%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.170.020.041288%0.161-0.02250%-0.01
Terrell Brandon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.02-0.031760%0.133-0.051100%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.002100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.07545%0.032-0.001100%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001360%0.052-0.03475%0.01
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.140.01-0.112137%0.014-0.0410%-0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.000.03750%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game18.92.428.415.525.42.430.2123.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +41.8%
PHX -12.2%
MIN +2.2%
MIN +15.3%
MIN +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXMINNBAPHXMINNBA
this game13.814.615.299.0108.8101.7
season14.815.1101.4103.5
opponent15.715.3101.196.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX14.113.914.812.313.8
MIN14.713.814.015.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luc Longley27260.11-0.610.72-0.076-172314.613.51.0814.214.7-0.45
Todd Day560.00-0.500.50-0.186-17235.614.2-8.6311.814.7-2.91
Randy Livingston1719-0.01-0.490.47-0.289-202911.514.3-2.7314.714.50.14
Shawn Marion5858-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-121313.713.9-0.1414.015.4-1.40
Tom Gugliotta6866-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-111114.113.30.7914.215.3-1.18
Anfernee Hardaway7574-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-2-713.813.80.0414.415.0-0.59
Jason Kidd7273-0.35-0.15-0.210.18-187-2514.611.92.6714.514.7-0.17
Rex Chapman3635-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-132-1514.613.31.3016.013.82.22
Rodney Rogers4850-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.26-6-5-113.713.9-0.1815.413.71.67
Oliver Miller5053-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-10-1-912.814.8-2.0614.514.6-0.12
Clifford Robinson4950-0.570.07-0.650.04-2110-3114.113.50.5814.814.40.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith36360.420.080.35-0.0416-52115.214.21.0114.913.21.78
Malik Sealy49460.410.090.320.1592714.314.8-0.4712.415.0-2.59
Rasho Nesterovic71700.290.210.070.0874315.113.41.7014.412.51.90
Kevin Garnett79790.270.230.030.1838-514.714.20.4514.212.51.61
Terrell Brandon75740.260.240.030.0965115.113.11.9314.112.91.25
Bobby Jackson27260.240.26-0.020.1538-513.914.8-0.9213.314.0-0.61
Dean Garrett15160.210.29-0.09-0.0692714.914.50.3513.713.8-0.14
Sam Mitchell20190.180.32-0.150.0065115.414.41.0314.213.70.44
Wally Szczerbiak70690.140.36-0.220.0538-514.714.20.4613.713.9-0.20
Anthony Peeler58600.090.41-0.320.12-112-1314.115.2-1.1214.213.20.98
William Avery550.000.50-0.500.09-314-176.615.0-8.385.614.2-8.63
Tom Hammonds550.000.50-0.500.09-314-176.615.0-8.385.614.2-8.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 83, DET 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
MIN 73, LAL 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
MEM 92, IND 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%