inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 107 Excitement3.7 [1079] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +37.4%
Miami Heat 124 Comeback1.9 [1147] LVPGary Neal (CHA): -10.9%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0.200,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.240.020.062473%0.221-0.02450%-0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.02952%0.0700.00580%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03480%0.0300.002100%-0.00
Luke Ridnour0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.01-0.03350%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00658%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.04839%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Anthony Tolliver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.061055%-0.041-0.00250%-0.00
Cody Zeller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.000.05756%-0.032-0.03450%-0.03
Gary Neal-0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.020.041142%-0.072-0.042100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.370.370.460.070.153378%0.402-0.021275%-0.03
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.01-0.03764%0.1000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.011450%0.0600.002100%0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.055100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033117%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00267%0.0300.002100%0.00
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.002100%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01337%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Rashard Lewis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02250%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.01725%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.628.215.626.53.330.3130.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.0%
MIA +7.9%
CHA -5.2%
MIA +12.0%
MIA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game16.515.915.1120.2139.3105.2
season15.715.6102.4109.7
opponent15.815.1105.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.316.918.514.316.5
MIA15.014.416.617.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Ridnour2726-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-192115.816.8-0.9416.715.51.19
Cody Zeller3736-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-12714.218.1-3.9515.915.9-0.04
Al Jefferson6969-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-8-116.815.41.3216.314.31.98
Anthony Tolliver4243-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-11515.617.2-1.5715.915.90.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts4747-0.25-0.250.010.05-10-7-315.417.6-2.2215.416.4-0.93
Bismack Biyombo1111-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-6-517.616.31.3311.116.6-5.47
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4746-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-6-517.215.61.5715.915.9-0.04
Gary Neal5758-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-5-12717.015.61.4216.914.12.80
Josh McRoberts4646-0.31-0.19-0.130.01-11-6-518.014.83.2515.616.2-0.58
Kemba Walker6263-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-192-2116.815.80.9415.516.7-1.19

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James77760.500.000.490.031611515.915.9-0.0316.615.80.73
Ray Allen55560.320.180.13-0.101431115.616.4-0.8516.017.3-1.37
Michael Beasley35350.310.190.110.0498115.116.4-1.2714.817.5-2.71
Norris Cole40430.290.210.07-0.121431114.117.3-3.1615.817.1-1.32
Chris Andersen33340.270.230.050.0198115.316.2-0.8815.417.1-1.76
Toney Douglas33320.230.27-0.03-0.0089-116.815.41.4317.715.81.95
Shane Battier37370.200.30-0.100.03611-516.315.60.6517.815.62.20
Mario Chalmers56540.180.32-0.140.24-219-2117.113.83.2417.415.12.28
Chris Bosh54540.170.33-0.160.02512-716.415.11.2717.514.82.71
Greg Oden990.040.46-0.43-0.02215-1315.315.9-0.6216.016.5-0.53
Udonis Haslem1090.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1316.815.81.0315.816.5-0.77
Rashard Lewis330.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1514.315.9-1.6110.016.7-6.70
DeAndre Liggins330.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1514.315.9-1.6110.016.7-6.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 74, ATL 780.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,196.2%
LAC 83, DET 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
DET 80, BOS 980.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%